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International Journal of Wildland Fire International Journal of Wildland Fire Society
Journal of the International Association of Wildland Fire
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International Journal of Wildland Fire

International Journal of Wildland Fire

Volume 33 Number 7 2024

WF23097Wildland fire evacuations in Canada from 1980 to 2021

Amy Cardinal Christianson, Lynn M. Johnston, Jacqueline A. Oliver, David Watson, David Young, Heather MacDonald, John Little, Bruce Macnab and Noemie Gonzalez Bautista

This paper summarises data on wildland fire evacuations in Canada between 1980 and 2021. There were 1393 wildland fire evacuation events with 576,747 people evacuated, costing approximately CAD4.6 billion CDN including productivity losses.

Heatwaves, dynamic fire–atmosphere interactions and increased fuel availability caused by drought are likely to amplify fire behaviour under climate change. We review meteorological dynamics contributing to enhanced fire behaviour during heatwaves using examples from the 2019–20 Australian Black Summer bushfires and examine potential challenges posed for future fire management.

The validity of fuel hazard rating for assessment of fuels in Australian forests was reviewed. The principles underpinning the rating method were shown to be unfounded, with ratings found to be neither related to physical fuel characteristics nor fire behaviour potential. Their application in Australian fire management and research is unwarranted.

WF23167Effect of live/dead condition, moisture content and particle size on flammability of gorse (Ulex europaeus) measured with a cone calorimeter

Katharine O. Melnik 0000-0002-0258-4965, Andres Valencia 0000-0002-3588-5270, Marwan Katurji 0000-0002-3368-1469, Daniel Nilsson 0000-0003-3127-7152, Greg Baker 0000-0001-8676-0139, Oleg M. Melnik 0000-0003-3238-9623, H. Grant Pearce 0000-0002-4876-2683 and Tara M. Strand

This study compares the flammability of live and dead vegetation at a range of moisture contents and particle sizes. Live fuel took longer to ignite but burned faster and more intensely than dead fuel of the same moisture content, emphasising the importance of live fuel flammability in fire prediction models.

WF23207Spot ignition of a wildland fire and its transition to propagation

Supan Wang, Maria Thomsen, Xinyan Huang 0000-0002-0584-8452 and Carlos Fernandez-Pello

Photographs showing wildfire propagation from a spot ignition (left) to a wildfire (right).

Wildland fires are often initiated by small spot ignition sources. Their transition into wildfire spread has an initial acceleration phase, and the growth of a burned area of the fuel bed follows a power law dependence in time. Such a trend is almost independent of the ignition source and can be extended over relatively long times.

Observation composed of data from multiple moments is asynchronous observation, which will bring errors when performing data assimilation. This paper proposes a distributed strategy combined with the Ensemble Transform Kalman filter for asynchronous observation. It could conduct the analysis step immediately by a new matching scheme between prediction and observation.

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