PESA Australia Business Environment Review 2022
Erin Wild A *A KPMG Australia, Tower Two – 727 Collins Street, Melbourne, Vic. 3008, Australia.
Abstract
The energy industry has experienced continued uncertainty in the last 12 months driven by the ongoing impact of the war in Ukraine, China’s continued COVID crisis and the energy transformation. While the impacts of these events have varied across the world regional responses have focussed on energy security, affordability, and decarbonisation. While this has resulted in a greater focus on policy, investment decision making and operational discipline, it has also resulted in discussions at COP27 and DAVOS on energy poverty and the need to ensure equitable access to affordable energy. One important ramification of this uncertainty was the record global capital investment in energy transition activities particularly in renewable energy, electrified transport, and energy storage. From an Australian perspective, against the backdrop of a revised national emissions target and an east coast energy crisis, industry participants attempted to progress capital projects to support domestic energy demand–supply requirements. However, these ambitions were challenged by energy policies, economics, and social activism influences. Consequently, important projects designed to address domestic gas supply constraints were either suspended or experienced postponement of final investment decisions. Furthermore, through the vehicle of mergers and acquisitions, new participants entered the Australian market as established upstream operators actively sort to increase sustainable energy investments through ‘new energy’ business models in the form of portfolio consolidation, divestment, and defensibility as part of the energy transition pursuit and carbon abatement. All of which fosters long-term value creation through the ESG growth space as renewable technologies such as Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage, experienced significant investment within the local industry. Finally, the unavoidable maturation of oil and gas assets across the nation has also accelerated activities across the Australian market in preparation for the imminent decommissioning wave, which is anticipated to cost billions of dollars over the next decade.
Keywords: Australia, biomethane, decarbonisation, decommissioning, energy crisis, energy transition, gas markets, hydrogen, LNG, macroeconomics, mergers and acquisitions, new energy, policy, renewables.
References
ACCC (2023a) Gas inquiry 2017–2023 Interim report. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, Canberra, Australia. Available at https://www.accc.gov.au/system/files/Gas%20Inquiry%20-%20January%202023%20interim%20report%20-%20FINAL_0.pdf
ACCC (2023b) Gas supply outlook improves but shortfall still possible. Press release, 27 January 2023. Available at https://www.accc.gov.au/media-release/gas-supply-outlook-improves-but-shortfall-still-possible
AEMO (2022) Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q1 2022. Australian Energy Market Operator, Melbourne, Australia. Available at https://aemo.com.au/-/media/files/major-publications/qed/2022/qed-q1-report.pdf?la=en
AEMO (2023) Gas Statement of Opportunities for central and eastern Australia. Australian Energy Market Operator Limited, Melbourne, Australia. Available at https://aemo.com.au/-/media/files/gas/national_planning_and_forecasting/gsoo/2023/2023-gas-statement-of-opportunities.pdf?la=en
Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility (ACCR) (2023) Offshore oil and gas asset decommissioning. ACCR, Canberra, ACT. Available at https://www.accr.org.au/research/offshore-oil-and-gas-asset-decommissioning/
Baylin-Stern A, Berghout N (2021) Is carbon capture too expensive? Press release, 17 February 2021. Available at https://www.iea.org/commentaries/is-carbon-capture-too-expensive
BHP (2022) BHP Petroleum merger with Woodside. Press release, 2022. Available at https://www.bhp.com/about/our-businesses/woodside-bhp-merger
BloombergNEF (2023) Global low-carbon energy technology investment surges past $1 trillion for the first time. Press release, 26 January 2023. Available at https://about.bnef.com/blog/global-low-carbon-energy-technology-investment-surges-past-1-trillion-for-the-first-time/
Cavcic M (2022) Post-merge with BHP, Woodside becomes ‘largest energy company on ASX’. Press release, 1 June 2022. Available at https://www.offshore-energy.biz/post-merger-with-bhp-woodside-becomes-largest-energy-company-on-asx/
Centre of Decommissioning Australia (2022) A Baseline Assessment of Australia’s Offshore Oil and Gas Decommissioning Liability. Advisian, Perth, WA. Available at https://www.decommissioning.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Offshore-Oil-and-Gas-Decommissioning-Liability.pdf
Cooper Energy (2022) Cooper Energy Activities 2022. Press release, January 2022. Available at https://cooperenergy.com.au/Upload/Cooper-Energy-Activities-Update-January-2022.pdf
Dabrowski B, Sychev A (2023) Gas giant Linde to invest $7-$9 bln over 2-3 years in clean energy. Press release, 8 February 2023. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/linde-sees-9-12-earnings-growth-2023-after-quarterly-beat-2023-02-07/
Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (2022a) Capacity Investment Scheme to power Australian energy market transformation. Press release, 8 December 2022. Available at https://minister.dcceew.gov.au/bowen/media-releases/capacity-investment-scheme-power-australian-energy-market-transformation#:~:text=%E2%80%9CThe%20Capacity%20Investment%20Scheme%20is,delivered%20as%20this%20transition%20continues.%E2%80%9D
Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (2022b) Growing Australia’s hydrogen industry. Press release, 12 December 2022. Available at https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/hydrogen
Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (2022c) Joint media release: Gas price cap to take effect. Press release, 22 December 2022. Available at https://minister.dcceew.gov.au/bowen/media-releases/joint-media-release-gas-price-cap-take-effect
Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (2022d) Emissions Reduction Fund introduces new biomethane method package. Press release, 20 January 2022. Available at https://www.dcceew.gov.au/about/news/emissions-reduction-fund-introduces-new-biomethane-method-package
Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (2023). Australia's National Hydrogen Strategy. Press release, 1 March 2023. Available at https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/publications/australias-national-hydrogen-strategy
Department of Industry, Science and Resources (2022a) Amendments to enhance offshore oil and gas decommissioning. Press release, 24 February 2022. Available at https://www.industry.gov.au/news/amendments-enhance-offshore-oil-and-gas-decommissioning
Department of Industry, Science and Resources (2022b) Resources and Energy Major Projects 2022 Report. Office of the Chief Economist, Canberra, Australia. Available at https://www.industry.gov.au/sites/default/files/2022-12/resources-and-energy-major-projects-2022_0.pdf
Elijah D (2023) EU LNG imports reach all-time highs in December and 2022. Press release, 4 January 2023. Available at https://www.kpler.com/blog/eu-lng-imports-reach-all-time-highs-in-december-and-2022
Evans D (2021) Australia braces of $40bn decommissioning wave. Press release, 10 March 2021. Available at https://www.energyvoice.com/oilandgas/305851/australia-braces-for-40bn-decommissioning-wave/
Evans S (2018) Santos reject Harvour Energy's $14.4b takeover bid. Press release, 22 May 2018. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/santos-rejects-harbour-energys-144b-takeover-bid-20180522-h10f1t
ExxonMobil Australia (2022a) Esso Australia to expand gas development in the Gipplsand Basin. Press release, 17 March 2022. Available at https://www.exxonmobil.com.au/news/newsroom/news-releases-and-alerts/2022/esso-australia-to-expand-gas-development-in-the-gippsland-basin
ExxonMobil Australia (2022b) The South East Australia Carbon Capture Hub. Press release, 18 April 2022. Available at https://www.exxonmobil.com.au/energy-and-environment/energy-resources/upstream-operations/the-south-east-australia-carbon-capture-hub
ExxonMobil Australia (2022c) Esso Australia commences technical tender for Bass Strait decommissioning. Press release, 17 June 2022. Available at https://www.exxonmobil.com.au/news/newsroom/news-releases-and-alerts/2022/esso-australia-commences-technical-tender-for-bass-strait-decommissioning
Fowler E (2021) Origin to recycle $2b from APLNG sale into cleaner energy. Press release, 25 October 2021. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/origin-sells-2-12b-stake-in-australia-pacific-lng-20211025-p592sg
Geoscience Australia (2021) 2021 Greenhouse Gas Storage Release Areas. Geoscience Australia, Symonston, ACT. Available at https://www.ga.gov.au/scientific-topics/energy/province-sedimentary-basin-geology/petroleum/acreagerelease/ghg
Hart A (2022) The bother with biogas. Press release, 24 June 2022. Available at https://cosmosmagazine.com/science/engineering/biogas/
Hunter Gas Pipeline (2022) Project Timeline. Available at https://huntergaspipeline.com.au/project-timeline/
International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020) Outlook for biogas and biomethane: Prospects for organic growth. IEA Publications, Paris, France. Available at https://www.iea.org/reports/outlook-for-biogas-and-biomethane-prospects-for-organic-growth
International Energy Agency (IEA) (2022a) IEA confirms member country contributions to second collective action to release oil stocks in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Press release, 7 April 2022. Available at https://www.iea.org/news/iea-confirms-member-country-contributions-to-second-collective-action-to-release-oil-stocks-in-response-to-russia-s-invasion-of-ukraine
International Energy Agency (IEA) (2022b) Renewable power’s growth is being turbocharged as countries seek to strengthen energy security. IEA Publications, Paris, France. Available at https://www.iea.org/news/renewable-power-s-growth-is-being-turbocharged-as-countries-seek-to-strengthen-energy-security
KPMG (2023a) Abandoned infrastructure and decommissioned assets. Press release, 28 February 2023. Available at https://kpmg.com/au/en/home/insights/2023/02/emerging-trends-in-infrastructure/abandoned-infrastructure-and-decommissioned-assets.html
KPMG (2023b) Inflation and skills shortage heighten engineering and construction risk. Available at https://kpmg.com/au/en/home/insights/2023/02/emerging-trends-in-infrastructure/engineering-construction-industry-challenges.html
Macdonald-Smith A (2022a) Gas plan threatens billions in investments. Press release, 12 December 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/wrong-approach-gas-plan-threatens-supply-20221211-p5c5fi
Macdonald-Smith A (2022b) Woodside may pre-empt Tokyo Gas’ $3.4b LNG sale. Press release, 9 October 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/tokyo-gas-sells-australian-lng-stakes-in-3-4b-deal-20221008-p5bo7j
Macdonald-Smith A (2022c) Gas producers snap up CCS permits. Press release, 11 September 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/gas-producers-snap-up-ccs-permits-20220909-p5bgub
Macdonald-Smith A (2022d) Australia ‘missed big opportunity in CCS’: IEA head. Press release, 15 July 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/australia-missed-big-opportunity-in-ccs-iea-head-20220713-p5b1dr
Macdonald-Smith A (2023a) Origin investors back reduced $18.2b takeover offer. Press release, 22 February 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/origin-bidders-cut-offer-price-to-8-90-a-share-20230222-p5cmgx
Macdonald-Smith A (2023b) No detail? No gas deals: Woodside CEO. Press release, 25 January 2023. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/woodside-beats-output-guidance-after-strong-end-to-year-20230125-p5cf9f
Marsh S, Chambers M (2022) Germany freezes Nord Stream 2 gas project as Ukraine crisis deepens. Press release, 23 February 2022. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/germanys-scholz-halts-nord-stream-2-certification-2022-02-22/
McCulloch S (2023) Opinion Article: Australia must build on its advantages in carbon capture (Australian Financial Review). Press release, 14 March 2023. Available at https://www.appea.com.au/all_news/opinion-article-australia-must-build-on-its-advantages-in-carbon-capture-australian-financial-review/
Mineral Resources (2023) Norwest Energy’s board has unanimously recommended Mineral Resources’ revised takeover offer. Press release, 10 January 2023. Available at https://www.mineralresources.com.au/investor-centre/minres-takeover-offer-for-norwest-energy/#:~:text=The%20Offer%20is%20unconditional%20and,extended%20to%2016%20March%202023.&text=For%20more%20information%2C%20refer%20to,Corporations%20Act%202001%20(Cth)
Mukano R (2022) Tokyo Gas to sell stakes in 4 Australian LNG projects to U.S. fund. Press release, 7 October 2022. Available at https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Tokyo-Gas-to-sell-stakes-in-4-Australian-LNG-projects-to-U.S.-fund
National Energy Resources Australia (2022) Life extension, repurposing and decommissioning. Press release, 9 November 2022. Available at https://www.nera.org.au/Decommissioning
Neimarlija E (2023) ExxonMobil books new vessel for decom ops offshore Australia. Press release, 23 January 2023. Available at https://www.offshore-energy.biz/exxon-mobil-books-new-vessel-for-decom-ops-offshore-australia/
Nestor S (2022) Australia’s first biomethane-to-gas network project underway. Press release, 25 May 2022. Available at Australia’s first biomethane-to-gas network project underway - Energy Magazine
Niesche C (2022) Biogas targets get ambitious. Press release, 30 September 2022. Available at https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/biogas-targets-get-ambitious-20220924-p5bkns
NOPSEMA (2022) Approved projects and activities. Available at https://info.nopsema.gov.au/home/approved_projects_and_activities
Norwest Energy (2022) Managing Director Presentation to Annual General Meeting. Press release, 22 November 2022. Available at http://norwestenergy.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/2022-11-21-Presentation-to-AGM-22-November-2022.pdf
NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (2020) Narrabri Gas Project. NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment, Parramatta, Australia. Available at https://www.ipcn.nsw.gov.au/resources/pac/media/files/pac/projects/2020/03/narrabri-gas-project/referral-from-the-department-of-planning-industry-and-environment/dpie-final-assessment-report.pdf
Offshore Network Australia (2022) Australia Decommissioning & Abandonment Outlook. Press release, January 2023. Available at https://offsnet.com/content/australia/australia-decommissioning-and-outlook-report-revealed
Origin (2022a) Origin to divest Beetaloo Basin interests, intends to exit upstream exploration permits. Press release, 19 September 2022. Available at https://www.originenergy.com.au/about/investors-media/origin-to-divest-beetaloo-basin-interests-intends-to-exit-upstream-exploration-permits/
Origin (2022b) Origin planning Newcastle hydrogen hub. Press release, 28 February 2022. Available at https://www.originenergy.com.au/about/investors-media/origin-planning-newcastle-hydrogen-hub/
Packham C, Fowler E (2023) Small manufacturers scramble for gas from Shell. Press release, 24 January 2023. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/small-manufacturers-scramble-for-gas-from-shell-20230124-p5cf33
Prime Minister of Australia (2022) LANDMARK REWIRING THE NATION DEAL TO FAST-TRACK CLEAN ENERGY JOBS AND SECURITY IN NSW. Press release, 21 December 2022. Available at https://www.pm.gov.au/media/landmark-rewiring-nation-deal-fast-track-clean-energy-jobs-and-security-nsw
Santos (2022a) Barossa Gas Project. Available at https://www.santos.com/barossa/
Santos (2022b) Globally Significant Carbon Capture and Storage Project A Step Closer. Press release, 9 March 2022. Available at https://www.santos.com/news/globally-significant-carbon-capture-and-storage-project-a-step-closer/
Santos (2023) Santos reports record underlying earnings and higher shareholder returns. Press release, 22 February 2023. Available at https://www.santos.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/2022-Full-year-Results-Announcement-and-Presentation.pdf
Searancke R (2022) CCS permits outshine Australia petroleum acreage offerings. Press release, 11 December 2022. Available at https://www.upstreamonline.com/energy-transition/ccs-permits-outshine-australia-petroleum-acreage-offerings/2-1-1364485
Senex Energy (2023) Senex Energy Cover Letter and Submission- Gas Market Consultation. Press release, 7 February 2023. Available at https://www.senexenergy.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Senex-Energy_Cover-Letter-and-Submission_Gas-Market-Consultation_7-February-2023.pdf
Shell Global (2023) European LNG demand to drive competition for new supply and dominate trade in the long term. Press release, 17 February 2023. Available at https://www.shell.com/media/news-and-media-releases/2023/european-lng-demand-to-drive-competition-for-new-supply.html#:~:text=European%20countries%2C%20including%20the%20UK,following%20its%20invasion%20of%20Ukraine
Skopljak N (2022a) Regulator OKs Cooper Energy’s Basker Manta Gummy decommissioning plan. Press release, 12 April 2022. Available at https://www.offshore-energy.biz/regulator-oks-cooper-energys-basker-manta-gummy-decommissioning-plan/
Skopljak N (2022b) Shell Brasil taps Helix for well decommissioning. Press release, 31 October 2022. Available at https://www.offshore-energy.biz/shell-brasil-taps-helix-for-well-decommissioning/
Squadron Energy (2022) Port Kembla Energy Terminal. Available at https://www.squadronenergy.com/our-projects/port-kembla-energy-terminal
Tamboran Resources (2022) Tamboran’s Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer attends Senate Standing Committees on Environment and Communications. Press release, 10 October 2022. Available at https://www.tamboran.com/tamborans-managing-director-and-chief-executive-officer-attends-senate-standing-committees-on-environment-and-communications/
Tennant F (2022) EIG buys Tokyo Gas’ Australian LNG portfolio for $2.15bn. Press release, 11 October 2022. Available at https://www.financierworldwide.com/fw-news/2022/10/11/eigs-buys-tokyo-gas-australian-lng-portfolio-for-215bn
Thompson B (2023) Hancock lifts takeover bid for Warrego. Press release, 5 January 2023. Available at https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/hancock-lifts-takeover-bid-for-warrego-20230105-p5cahu
Toscano T (2022) The Sydney Morning Herald. Available at https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/exxonmobil-fires-warning-over-victoria-s-plan-to-turn-off-gas-20220321-p5a6k0.html
Victoria State Government Department of Transport and Planning (2023) Viva Energy Gas Terminal Project. Press release, 6 March 2023. Available at https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/environment-assessment/browse-projects/projects/viva-energy-gas-terminal-project
VIVA Energy (2023) Approvals process and IAC hearings. Available at https://www.vivaenergy.com.au/energy-hub/gas-terminal-project/approvals-process-and-ees/approvals-process-and-iac-hearings
Vopak Victoria Energy Terminal (2022) Vopak submits referral for energy terminal near Avalon. Press release, 20 December 2022. Available at https://victoriaenergyterminal.com.au/media-releases/vopak-submits-referral-for-energy-terminal-near-avalon
Waldersee V (2023) Audi mulls U.S plant as IRA subsidies draw carmakers. Press release, 25 February 2023. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/audi-ceo-planning-electric-car-factory-us-due-ira-2023-02-24/
Woodside Energy (2022a) Woodside and BHP Petroleum Merger. Press release, 1 June 2022. Available at https://www.woodside.com/investors/woodside-and-bhp-merger
Woodside Energy (2022b) Annual Report. Woodside Energy Group Ltd, Perth, Australia. Available at https://www.woodside.com/docs/default-source/investor-documents/major-reports-(static-pdfs)/2022-annual-report/annual-report-2022.pdf?sfvrsn=52bf2032_7