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RESEARCH ARTICLE

HIV incidence and associated risk factors in men who have sex with men in Mainland China: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

Wei Zhang A B , Jun-Jie Xu A B , Huachun Zou C , Jing Zhang A B , Ning Wang A D E and Hong Shang A B E
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Key Laboratory of AIDS Immunology of National Health and Family Planning Commission, Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, China Medical University, No.155, Nanjing North Street, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, China.

B Collaborative Innovation Centre for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, No.79, Qingchun Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310003, China.

C Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.

D National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.155, Changbai Road, Beijing 102206, China.

E Corresponding authors. Email: hongshang100@hotmail.com; wangnbj@163.com

Sexual Health 13(4) 373-382 https://doi.org/10.1071/SH16001
Submitted: 2 November 2015  Accepted: 15 March 2016   Published: 26 May 2016

Abstract

Background: The national annually reported proportion of men who have sex with men (MSM) among people living with HIV (PLWH) is growing in China. To better inform the public health sector how to improve HIV prevention strategies, it is necessary to understand the current level of HIV incidence and its correlates. Methods: Google Scholar, PubMed, Web of Science and three major Chinese electronic publication databases (http://qikan.cqvip.com/, http://g.wanfangdata.com.cn/, http://www.cnki.net/, respectively) were searched for studies reporting HIV incidence. Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA) 2.0 statistical software (Biostat, Inc. Englewood, NJ, USA) was used to calculate the pooled HIV incidence and perform subgroup-analysis to find correlates for HIV seroconversion in Chinese MSM. Random effects modelling was then conducted. Results: Twenty-five eligible studies were included in this meta-analysis. The calculated pooled HIV incidence was 5.61/100 person years (PY), with an increasing trend over time (3.24/100PY, 5.29/100PY, 5.50/100PY in 2005–2008, 2009–2011, 2012–2014 respectively, χ2 test for trend P = 0.04). Subgroup analyses indicated that age <25 years (rate ratio (RR) = 1.85), junior college education and below (RR = 1.87), having ≥ 2 male sexual partners in past 6 months (RR = 2.50), baseline syphilis infection (RR = 2.99), homosexual orientation (RR = 1.91), preferred bottom/versatile roles in anal sexual intercourse (RR = 2.33), and having unprotected anal intercourse in the past 6 months (RR = 2.16) significantly increased the risk for HIV seroconversion (each P < 0.05). Uncircumcised MSM had a marginal statistically significant higher HIV incidence (RR = 3.35, P = 0.051). Conclusion: HIV incidence is still alarmingly high among Chinese MSM. Stronger HIV intervention strategies should be implemented, in particular targeting young, less educated and syphilis-infected MSM.

Additional keywords: HIV intervention, MSM.


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