Register      Login
Marine and Freshwater Research Marine and Freshwater Research Society
Advances in the aquatic sciences
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Historical perspectives on the mangroves of Kakadu National Park

Richard Lucas A G , C. Max Finlayson B C , Renee Bartolo D , Kerrylee Rogers E , Anthea Mitchell A , Colin D. Woodroffe E , Emma Asbridge A and Emilie Ens F
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A University of New South Wales, High Street, Kensington, NSW 2052, Australia.

B Institute for Land, Water and Society, Charles Sturt University, Albury, NSW 2604, Australia.

C IHE Delft, Institute for Water Education, PO Box 3015, NL-2601 DA Delft, Netherlands

D Environmental Research Institute of the Supervising Scientist, Department of the Environment, GPO Box 461, Darwin, NT 0801, Australia.

E School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW 2522, Australia.

F Department of Environmental Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia.

G Corresponding author. Email: richard.lucas@unsw.edu.au

Marine and Freshwater Research 69(7) 1047-1063 https://doi.org/10.1071/MF17065
Submitted: 7 March 2017  Accepted: 22 August 2017   Published: 5 December 2017

Abstract

Mangroves are a major ecosystem within Kakadu National Park in Australia’s Northern Territory, providing coastal protection, high biodiversity and an important resource for Aboriginal people. In the late Holocene (from c. 6000 before present), mangroves occupied much of the estuarine and coastal plains, but their range has subsequently contracted to the main river systems (the West Alligator, South Alligator and East Alligator Rivers, and the Wildman River), tributary creeks and offshore islands (Field and Barrow Islands). On the basis of maps of mangrove extent generated from aerial photography (1950, 1975, 1984 and 1991), compact airborne spectrographic imagery (CASI; 2002), light detection and ranging (LIDAR; 2011) and RapidEye data (2014 onward), changes in net area have been minor but significant redistribution has occurred, with this being attributed to both inland intrusion and seaward colonisation of mangroves. The greatest area changes have been associated with lower-stature mangroves dominated by Avicennia marina and Sonneratia alba, as determined from these datasets. Aerial surveys, conducted using a remote piloted aircraft (RPA) and fixed wing aircraft in September 2016, showed dieback of mangroves, with spaceborne RapidEye observations suggesting this occurred between late 2015 and 2016 and at the same time as the extensive mangrove losses reported in the Gulf of Carpentaria. Given the recent dieback and the associated need to better monitor and protect mangroves and proximal ecosystems in the World Heritage- and Ramsar-listed Kakadu National Park, the study recommends the development and implementation of a robust and long-term monitoring system that better utilises existing and ongoing earth observation and ground data, and is supported by a national approach.

Additional keywords: climate change, ecology, ecosystem processes, environmental monitoring.


References

Allen, H. (1989). Late pleistocene and Holocene settlement patterns and environment, Kakadu, Northern Territory, Australia. Bulletin of the Indo-Pacific Prehistory Association 9, 92–117.
Late pleistocene and Holocene settlement patterns and environment, Kakadu, Northern Territory, Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Applegate, R. J. (1999). Saltwater intrusion and the Mary River wetlands of the Northern Territory. In ‘An International Perspective on Wetland Rehabilitation’. (Ed. W. Streever.) pp. 113–119. (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, Netherlands.)

Asbridge, E., and Lucas, R. M. (2016). Mangrove response to environmental change in Kakadu National Park. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 9, 5612–5620.
Mangrove response to environmental change in Kakadu National Park.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Bartolo, R., Wasson, R., Valentine, E., Cleland, S., Bayliss, P., and Winderlich, S. (2008). 11. Climate change: the status of climate change research in the Kakadu landscape context. In ‘Kakadu National Park Landscape Symposia Series 2007–2009 Symposium 1: Landscape Change Overview’, 17–18 April 2007, Kakadu National Park. (Eds D. Walden and S. Nou.) Internal Report 532, p. 84. (Supervising Scientist: Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Bayliss, B., Brennan, K., Eliot, I., Finlayson, M., Hall, R., House, T., Pidgeon, B., Walden, D., and Waterman, P. (1997). Vulnerability assessment of predicted climate change and sea-level rise in the Alligator Rivers region, NT, Australia. Supervising Scientist, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

Bayliss, P., Van Dam, R., and Bartolo, R. (2012). Quantitative ecological risk assessment of the Magela Creek floodplain in Kakadu National Park, Australia: comparing point source risks from the Ranger Uranium Mine to diffuse landscape-scale risks. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 18, 115–151.
Quantitative ecological risk assessment of the Magela Creek floodplain in Kakadu National Park, Australia: comparing point source risks from the Ranger Uranium Mine to diffuse landscape-scale risks.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XovFGmtw%3D%3D&md5=96100cfb037aa522e0e67775be69c10fCAS |

Bayliss, P., Saunders, K., Dutra, L. X., Melo, L. F., Hilton, J., Prakash, M., and Woolard, F. (2018). Assessing sea level-rise risks to coastal floodplains in the Kakadu Region, northern Australia, using a tidally driven hydrodynamic model. Marine and Freshwater Research 69, 1064–1078.
Assessing sea level-rise risks to coastal floodplains in the Kakadu Region, northern Australia, using a tidally driven hydrodynamic model.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

BMT WBM (2010). Kakadu: vulnerability to climate change impacts. A report to the Australian Government Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

Bourke, P., Brockwellm, S., Faulkner, P., and Meehan, B. (2007). Climate variability in the mid to late Holocene Arnhem Land region, North Australia: archaeological archives of environmental and cultural change. Archaeology in Oceania 42, 91–101.
Climate variability in the mid to late Holocene Arnhem Land region, North Australia: archaeological archives of environmental and cultural change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Cabral, S. (2007). Detecting long term response of mangroves to environmental change using field survey techniques. Report, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Qld, Australia.

Chappell, J., Rhodes, E., Thom, B., and Wallensky, E. (1982). Hydro-isostasy and the sea-level isobase of 5500 BP in north Queensland, Australia. Marine Geology 49, 81–90.
Hydro-isostasy and the sea-level isobase of 5500 BP in north Queensland, Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Clark, R. L., and Guppy, J. C. (1988). A transition from mangrove forest to freshwater wetland in the monsoon tropics of Australia. Journal of Biogeography 15, 665–684.
A transition from mangrove forest to freshwater wetland in the monsoon tropics of Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Clarkson, C., Jacobs, Z., Marwick, B., Fullagar, R., Wallis, L., Smith, M., Roberts, R. G., Hayes, E., Lowe, K., Carah, X., Florin, S. A., McNeil, J., Cox, D., Arnold, L. J., Hua, Q., Huntley, J., Brand, H. E. A., Manne, T., Fairbairn, A., Shulmeister, J., Lyle, L., Salinas, M., Page, M., Connell, K., Park, G., Norman, K., Murphy, T., and Pardoe, C. (2017). Human occupation of northern Australia by 65 000 years ago. Nature 547, 306–310.
Human occupation of northern Australia by 65 000 years ago.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2sXhtF2qurrI&md5=8d1551aa6ef493640a8d980479476063CAS |

Cobb, S., Saynor, M., Eliot, I., and Hall, R. (2000). Saltwater intrusion in the Alligator Rivers region, northern Australia. In ‘Assessment and Monitoring of Coastal Change in the Alligator Rivers Region, northern Australia’. (Eds I. Eliot, M. Saynor, M. Eliot, and C. M. Finlayson.) Report 157, pp. 118–131. (Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Cobb, S., Saynor, M., and Eliot, M. (2007). Saltwater intrusion and mangrove encroachment of coastal wetlands in the Alligator Rivers Region, Northern Territory, Australia. Report 191. Department of the Environment and Water Resources., Darwin, NT, Australia.

Director of National Parks (2016). Kakadu National Park Management Plan 2016–2026. Australian Government, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

Duke, N., Kovacs, J., Griffiths, A., Preece, L., Hill, D., van Oosterzee, P., Mackenzie, J., Morning, H., and Burrows, D. (2017). Large-scale dieback of mangroves in Australia’s Gulf of Carpentaria: a severe ecosystem response, coincidental with an unusually extreme weather event. Marine and Freshwater Research 68, 1816–1829.
Large-scale dieback of mangroves in Australia’s Gulf of Carpentaria: a severe ecosystem response, coincidental with an unusually extreme weather event.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Eliot, I., Finlayson, C., and Waterman, P. (1999). Predicted climate change, sea-level rise and wetland management in the Australian wet–dry tropics. Wetlands Ecology and Management 7, 63–81.
Predicted climate change, sea-level rise and wetland management in the Australian wet–dry tropics.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Eliot, I., Eliot, M., and Saynor, M. (2000a). Climatology and physical oceanography of van Diemen Gulf: Preliminary acquisition of baseline information. In ‘Assessment and Monitoring of Coastal Change in the Alligator Rivers Region, northern Australia’. (Eds I. Eliot, M. Saynor, M. Eliot, and C. M. Finlayson.) Report 157, pp. 57-69. (Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Eliot, I., Saynor, M., Eliot, M., and Finlayson, C. (2000b). Assessment and monitoring of coastal change in the Alligator Rivers region, northern Australia. Report 157. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Evans, S., Marchand, R., and Ackerman, T. (2014). Variability of the Australian monsoon and precipitation trends at Darwin. Journal of Climate 27, 8487–8500.
Variability of the Australian monsoon and precipitation trends at Darwin.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C. M. (1995). Wetland research in the wet-dry tropics. Report 101. Supervising Scientist, Jabiru, NT, Australia.

Finlayson, C. M. (1999). Coastal wetlands and climate change: the role of governance and science. Aquatic Conservation 9, 621–626.
Coastal wetlands and climate change: the role of governance and science.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C. M. (2000). Wetland scientists: involvement in training, community awareness and exchange of information. In ‘In Environmental Research Institute of the Supervising Scientist Research Summary 1995–2000’. (Eds J. Rovis-Hermann, K. G. Evans, A. L. Webb, and R. W. J. Pidgeon.) Report 166, pp. 123–134. (Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Finlayson, M. (2006). Freshwater protected areas: can we expand our options to include private wetlands? Ecological Management & Restoration 7, 77–78.
Freshwater protected areas: can we expand our options to include private wetlands?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C., and Eliot, I. (2001). Ecological assessment and monitoring of coastal wetlands in Australia’s wet–dry tropics: a paradigm for elsewhere? Coastal Management 29, 105–115.
Ecological assessment and monitoring of coastal wetlands in Australia’s wet–dry tropics: a paradigm for elsewhere?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C., and Mitchell, D. (1999). Australian wetlands: the monitoring challenge. Wetlands Ecology and Management 7, 105–112.
Australian wetlands: the monitoring challenge.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C. M., and Oertzen, I. v. (1996). ‘Landscape and Vegetation Ecology of the Kakadu Region, Northern Australia.’ (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, Netherlands.)

Finlayson, C., and Spiers, A. (1999). A compendium of information for managing and monitoring wetlands in tropical Australia. Report 148. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Finlayson, C. M., and Woodroffe, C. (1996). Wetland vegetation. In ‘Landscape and Vegetation Ecology of the Kakadu Region, Northern Australia’. (Eds C. M. Finlayson and I. von Oertzen.) pp. 81–112 (Kluwer: Dordrecht, Netherlands.)

Finlayson, C., Storrs, M., and Lindner, G. (1997). Degradation and rehabilitation of wetlands in the Alligator Rivers region of northern Australia. Wetlands Ecology and Management 5, 19–36.
Degradation and rehabilitation of wetlands in the Alligator Rivers region of northern Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C., Thurtell, L., Storrs, M., Applegate, R., Barrow, P., and Wellings, P. (1998). Local communities and wetland management in the Australian wet–dry tropics. In ‘Wetlands in a Dry Land: Understanding for Management’. (Ed. W. D. Williams.) pp. 299–311. (Environment Australia: Canberra, ACT, Australia.)

Finlayson, C. M., Lowry, J., Bellio, M. G., Nou, S., Pidgeon, R., Walden, D., Humphrey, C., and Fox, G. (2006). Biodiversity of the wetlands of the Kakadu Region, northern Australia. Aquatic Sciences 68, 374–399.
Biodiversity of the wetlands of the Kakadu Region, northern Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, M. C., Eliot, I., and Eliot, M. (2009). A strategic framework for monitoring coastal change in Australia’s wet–dry tropics: concepts and progress. Geographical Research 47, 109–123.
A strategic framework for monitoring coastal change in Australia’s wet–dry tropics: concepts and progress.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Finlayson, C. M., Davidson, N., Pritchard, D., Milton, G. R., and MacKay, H. (2011). The Ramsar Convention and ecosystem-based approaches to the wise use and sustainable development of wetlands. Journal of International Wildlife Law and Policy 14, 176–198.

Finlayson, C. M., Capon, S. J., Rissik, D., Pittock, J., Fisk, G., Davidson, N. C., Bodmin, K. A., Papas, P., Robertson, H. A., Schallenberg, M., Saintilan, N., Edyvane, K., and Bino, G. (2017). Adapting policy and management for the conservation of important wetlands under a changing climate. Marine and Freshwater Research 68, 1803–1815.
Adapting policy and management for the conservation of important wetlands under a changing climate.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Gardner, S., Finlayson, C. M., and Pidgeon, R. W. J. (2002), Description and literature review of the flora and vertebrate fauna of Magela Creek, Alligator Rivers Region, northern Australia. Report 169, Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Gilman, E., Ellison, J., and Coleman, R. (2007). Assessment of mangrove response to projected relative sea-level rise and recent historical reconstruction of shoreline position. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 124, 105–130.
Assessment of mangrove response to projected relative sea-level rise and recent historical reconstruction of shoreline position.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Gitay, H., Brown, S., Easterlin, W., and Jallow, B. (2001). ‘Ecosystems and Their Goods and Services.’ (Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Cambridge, UK.)

Haberle, S. G., and David, B. (2004). Climates of change: human dimensions of Holocene environmental change in low latitudes of the PEPII transect. Quaternary International 118–119, 165–179.
Climates of change: human dimensions of Holocene environmental change in low latitudes of the PEPII transect.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Hare, W. (2003). ‘Assessment of Knowledge on Impacts of Climate Change. Contribution to the Specification of Article 2 of the UNFCCC: Impacts on Ecosystems, Food Production, Water and Socio-Economic Systems.’ (Wissenschaftlicher Beirat der Bundesregierung Globale Umweltveranderungen (WBGU): Berlin, Germany.)

Hay, T., Gribble, N., De Vries, C., Danaher, K., Dunning, M., Hearnden, M., Caley, P., Wright, C., Brown, I., Bailey, S. and Phelan, M. (2005). Methods for monitoring the abundance and habitat of the northern Australian mud crab Scylla serrata. Project Report to the Fisheries Research & Development Corporation. Fishery Report 80, Northern Territory Government, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Hegerl, E., Davie, P., Claridge, G., and Elliott, A. (1979a). ‘The Kakadu National Park Mangrove Forests and Tidal Marshes. Volume 1: a Review of the Literature and Results of the Field Reconnaissance.’ (The Australian National Parks and Wildlife Service, Australian Littoral Society, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.)

Hegerl, E. J., Claridge, G. F., and Davie, P. J. F. (1979b). ‘The Kakadu National Park Mangrove Forest and Tidal Marshes. Volume 2: the Feasibility Study for a Comprehensive Survey’. (The Australian National Parks and Wildlife Service, Australian Littoral Society: Brisbane, Qld, Australia.)

Hegerl, E. J., Davie, J. D. F., Davie, P. J. F., Outridge, P. M., Shanco, P., Stock, E. C., and Claridge, G. F. (1981). ‘The Kakadu National Park Mangrove Forests and Tidal Marshes. Volume 3: the Research Program for the Tidal Wetlands Survey.’ (The Australian National Parks and Wildlife Service, Australian Littoral Society: Brisbane, Qld, Australia.)

Hegerl, E., Claridge, G., Davie, P., Outridge, P., Shanco, P., and Stock, E. (1982). ‘The Kakadu National Park Mangrove Forests and Tidal Marshes, Volume 4: Preliminary Results of Field Studies.’ (The Australian National Parks and Wildlife Service, Australian Littoral Society: Brisbane, Qld, Australia.)

Hennessy, K., Pittock, A., Walsh, K., Suppiah, R., McInnes, K., and Bathols, J. (2004). Climate change in the Northern Territory: consultancy report for the Northern Territory Department of Infrastructure, Planning and Environment, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.

Jourdain, N. C., Gupta, A. S., Taschetto, A. S., Ummenhofer, C. C., Moise, A. F., and Ashok, K. (2013). The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics 41, 3073–3102.
The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Kench, P. S. (1999). Geomorphology of Australian estuaries: review and prospect. Australian Journal of Ecology 24, 367–380.
Geomorphology of Australian estuaries: review and prospect.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Knighton, A. D., Mills, K., and Woodroffe, C. D. (1991). Tidal-creek extension and saltwater intrusion in northern Australia. Geology 19, 831–834.
Tidal-creek extension and saltwater intrusion in northern Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Knighton, A. D., Woodroffe, C. D., and Mills, K. (1992). The evolution of tidal creek networks, Mary River, northern Australia. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 17, 167–190.
The evolution of tidal creek networks, Mary River, northern Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Krauss, K. W., Lovelock, C. E., McKee, K. L., López-Hoffman, L., Ewe, S. M. L., and Sousa, W. P. (2008). Environmental drivers in mangrove establishment and early development: a review. Aquatic Botany 89, 105–127.
Environmental drivers in mangrove establishment and early development: a review.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Lewis, S. E., Sloss, C. R., Murray-Wallace, C. V., Woodroffe, C. D., and Smithers, S. G. (2013). Post-glacial sea-level changes around the Australian margin: a review. Quaternary Science Reviews 74, 115–138.
Post-glacial sea-level changes around the Australian margin: a review.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Lucas, R., Milne, A., Cronin, N., Witte, C., and Denham, R. (2000). The potential of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) for quantifying the biomass of Australia’s woodlands. The Rangeland Journal 22, 124–140.
The potential of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) for quantifying the biomass of Australia’s woodlands.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Lucas, R. M., Ellison, J., Mitchell, A., Donnelly, B., Finlayson, M., and Milne, A. (2002). Use of stereo aerial photography for quantifying changes in the extent and height of mangroves in tropical Australia. Wetlands Ecology and Management 10, 159–173.
Use of stereo aerial photography for quantifying changes in the extent and height of mangroves in tropical Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Lucas, R. M., Mitchell, A. L., Rosenqvist, A., Proisy, C., Melius, A., and Ticehurst, C. (2007). The potential of L‐band SAR for quantifying mangrove characteristics and change: case studies from the tropics. Aquatic Conservation 17, 245–264.
The potential of L‐band SAR for quantifying mangrove characteristics and change: case studies from the tropics.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Lukacs, G., and Finlayson, C. (2010). An evaluation of ecological information on Australia’s northern tropical rivers and wetlands. Wetlands Ecology and Management 18, 597–625.
An evaluation of ecological information on Australia’s northern tropical rivers and wetlands.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

McGregor, S., Lawson, V., Christophersen, P., Kennett, R., Boyden, J., Bayliss, P., Liedloff, A., McKaige, B., and Andersen, A. N. (2010). Indigenous wetland burning: conserving natural and cultural resources in Australia’s World Heritage-listed Kakadu National Park. Human Ecology 38, 721–729.
Indigenous wetland burning: conserving natural and cultural resources in Australia’s World Heritage-listed Kakadu National Park.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Meyers, G., McIntosh, P., Pigot, L., and Pook, M. (2007). The years of El Niño, La Niña, and interactions with the tropical Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate 20, 2872–2880.
The years of El Niño, La Niña, and interactions with the tropical Indian Ocean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Mitchell, A. L., Lucas, R. M., Donnelly, B. E., Pfitzner, K., Milne, A. K., and Finlayson, M. (2007). A new map of mangroves for Kakadu National Park, Northern Australia, based on stereo aerial photography. Aquatic Conservation 17, 446–467.
A new map of mangroves for Kakadu National Park, Northern Australia, based on stereo aerial photography.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Mulrennan, M. E., and Woodroffe, C. D. (1998). Saltwater intrusion into the coastal plains of the Lower Mary River, Northern Territory, Australia. Journal of Environmental Management 54, 169–188.
Saltwater intrusion into the coastal plains of the Lower Mary River, Northern Territory, Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Murray, P. F., and Hanley, J. R. (1986). Unmuddling the mudlobster; observations on the age and taphonomy of fossil Thalassina. The Beagle: Records of the Museums and Art Galleries of the Northern Territory 3, 59.

National Tidal Centre (2017). Australian Baseline Sea Level Monitoring Project. (Ed. Bureau of Meteorology.) (Australian Government: Kent Town, SA, Australia.) Available at http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/projects /ntc/ntc.shtml [Verified 10 September 2017].

Neidjie, B., and Taylor, K. (1989). ‘Story about Feeling.’ (Magabala Books.)

NOAA (2017). Sea level rise and radar altimeter database system. Available at https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/sod/lsa/SeaLevelRise/ [Verified 10 February 2017].

Nott, J., and Price, D. (1999). Waterfalls, floods and climate change: evidence from tropical Australia. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 171, 267–276.
Waterfalls, floods and climate change: evidence from tropical Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DyaK1MXltVCnur0%3D&md5=8b3e7e49e90bbd1c7f625acc31b6017aCAS |

Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J., and Hanson, C. E. (Eds) (2007). ‘Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.’ (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.)

Risbey, J. S., Pook, M. J., McIntosh, P. C., Wheeler, M. C., and Hendon, H. H. (2009). On the remote drivers of rainfall variability in Australia. Monthly Weather Review 137, 3233–3253.
On the remote drivers of rainfall variability in Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Russell-Smith, J., Lucas, D., Gapindi, M., Gunbunuka, B., Kapirigi, N., Namingum, G., Lucas, K., Giuliani, P., and Chaloupka, G. (1997). Aboriginal resource utilization and fire management practice in western Arnhem Land, monsoonal northern Australia: notes for prehistory, lessons for the future. Human Ecology 25, 159–195.
Aboriginal resource utilization and fire management practice in western Arnhem Land, monsoonal northern Australia: notes for prehistory, lessons for the future.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Saynor, M. J., Bull, A., Hall, R., Walden, D. J., Eliot, I., Spiers, A. G., and Finlayson, C. M. (1999). Major components of the coastal monitoring program in the Alligator Rivers region. In ‘A Compendium of Information for Managing and Monitoring Wetlands in Tropical Australia’. (Eds C. M. Finlayson and A. G. Spiers.) Report 148, pp. 299–311. (Supervising Scientist: Canberra, ACT, Australia.)

Saynor, M., Walden, D., Hall, R., and Ryan, B. (2000). Climate record for the Alligator Rivers region. Introduction to the coastal monitoring program. In ‘Assessment and Monitoring of Coastal Change in the Alligator Rivers Region, Northern Australia. (Eds I. Eliot, M. Saynor, M. Eliot, and C. M. Finlayson.) Report 157, pp. 44-56. (Supervising Scientist: Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Saynor, M. J., Finlayson, C. M., Eliot, I., and Spiers, A. G. (2001). Monitoring coastal wetlands in a highly dynamic tropical environment. In ‘Wetland Inventory, Assessment and Monitoring: Practical Techniques and Identification of Major Issues’. (Eds C. M. Finlayson, N. C. Davidson, and N. J. Stevenson.) Report 161, pp. 78-86. (Supervising Scientist: Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Saynor, M., Begg, G., and Claridge, G. (2003). The East Alligator mangrove transects: a series of permanent benchmark monitoring sites in Kakadu National Park. Internal report 407. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Shulmeister, J. (1992). A Holocene pollen record from lowland tropical Australia. The Holocene 2, 107–116.
A Holocene pollen record from lowland tropical Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Shulmeister, J., and Lees, B. G. (1995). Pollen evidence from tropical Australia for the onset of an ENSO-dominated climate at c. 4000 BP. The Holocene 5, 10–18.
Pollen evidence from tropical Australia for the onset of an ENSO-dominated climate at c. 4000 BP.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L. (Eds) (2007). ‘Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.’ (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.)

Storrs, M. J., and Finlayson, C. M. (1997). Overview of the conservation status of wetlands of the Northern Territory. Report 116. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Tidemann, C. R., Vardon, M. J., Loughland, R. A., and Brocklehurst, P. J. (1999). Dry season camps of flying‐foxes (Pteropus spp.) in Kakadu World Heritage Area, north Australia. Journal of Zoology 247, 155–163.
Dry season camps of flying‐foxes (Pteropus spp.) in Kakadu World Heritage Area, north Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Walden, D., van Dam, R., Finlayson, M., Storrs, M., Lowry, J., and Kriticos, D. (2004). A risk assessment of the tropical weed Mimosa pigra in northern Australia. Report 177. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Waterman, P., Finlayson, C., and Eliot, I. (2000). Assessment and monitoring of coastal change in the Alligator Rivers Region, northern Australia: a review of initial activities. In ‘Assessment and Monitoring of Coastal Change in the Alligator Rivers Region, Northern Australia’. (Eds I. Eliot, M. Saynor, M. Eliot, and C. M. Finlayson.) Report 157, pp. 149–161. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, NT, Australia.

White, C. (1967). The prehistory of the Kakadu people. The Australian Journal of Anthropology 6, 426–431.
The prehistory of the Kakadu people.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

White, N. J., Haigh, I. D., Church, J. A., Koen, T., Watson, C. S., Pritchard, T. R., Watson, P. J., Burgette, R. J., McInnes, K. L., and You, Z.-J. (2014). Australian sea levels: trends, regional variability and influencing factors. Earth-Science Reviews 136, 155–174.
Australian sea levels: trends, regional variability and influencing factors.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Wightman, G. M. (1988). A floristic and biogeographic assessment of Kakadu National Park (stage 2), mangrove assemblages in relation to World Heritage listing. In ‘Kakadu Stage 2: a Preliminary Assessment with Particular Reference to the Operational Guidelines for the Implementation of the World Heritage Convention’. (Conservation Commission of the Northern Territory: Darwin, NT, Australia.)

Williams, A. R. (1984). Changes in Melaleuca forest density on the Magela floodplain, Northern Territory, between 1950 and 1975. Austral Ecology 9, 199–202.
Changes in Melaleuca forest density on the Magela floodplain, Northern Territory, between 1950 and 1975.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Winn, K. O. (2001). Saltwater intrusion and morphological change at Point Farewell, Alligator Rivers Region. Supervising Scientist, Darwin, Australia.

Winn, N. B., and Taçon, P. S. C. (2016). Managing the past in northern Australia: challenges and pitfalls for indigenous communities, rock art and cultural heritage. Heritage & Society 9, 168–190.
Managing the past in northern Australia: challenges and pitfalls for indigenous communities, rock art and cultural heritage.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Winn, K., Saynor, M., Eliot, M., and Elio, I. (2006). Saltwater intrusion and morphological change at the mouth of the East Alligator River, Northern Territory. Journal of Coastal Research 22, 137–149.
Saltwater intrusion and morphological change at the mouth of the East Alligator River, Northern Territory.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Woodroffe, C. D., and Mulrennan, M. (1993). ‘Geomorphology of the Lower Mary River Plains Northern Territory.’ (Australian National University North Australia Research Unit and the Conservation Commission of the Northern Territory., Canberra, ACT, Australia)

Woodroffe, C. D., Thom, B. G., and Chappell, J. (1985). Development of widespread mangrove swamps in mid-Holocene times in northern Australia. Nature 317, 711–713.
Development of widespread mangrove swamps in mid-Holocene times in northern Australia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Woodroffe, C. D., Chappell, J. M. A., Thorn, B. G., and Wallensky, E. (1986). Geomorphology of the South Alligator tidal river and plains, Northern Territory. In ‘Coastal and Tidal Wetlands of the Australian Monsoon Region’. (Eds K. N. Bardsley, J. D. S. Davie, and C. D. Woodroffe.) North Australian Research Unit Mangrove Monograph, Vol. 1, pp. 3–15. (Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia.)

Woodroffe, C. D., Chappell, J., and Thom, B. G. (1988). Shell middens in the context of estuarine development, South Alligator River, Northern Territory. Archaeology in Oceania 23, 95–103.
Shell middens in the context of estuarine development, South Alligator River, Northern Territory.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |