Free Standard AU & NZ Shipping For All Book Orders Over $80!
Register      Login
Australian Energy Producers Journal Australian Energy Producers Journal Society
Journal of Australian Energy Producers
RESEARCH ARTICLE (Non peer reviewed)

PESA Australia business environment review 2021

Candice Bell A *
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A KPMG Australia, 71 Eagle Street, Brisbane, Qld 4000, Australia.

* Correspondence to: cbell8@kpmg.com.au

The APPEA Journal 62 S519-S526 https://doi.org/10.1071/AJ21224
Accepted: 12 April 2022   Published: 13 May 2022

© 2022 The Author(s) (or their employer(s)). Published by CSIRO Publishing on behalf of APPEA.

Abstract

With a backdrop of energy transition and an accelerating need to decarbonise, the oil and gas business environment was complex and conflicted through 2021. The complexity of the energy transition was continually highlighted by academia and international agencies. While asserting gas and LNG as a fuel critical to the energy transition, they continued to warn that the transition away from fossil fuels is not occurring fast enough to arrest catastrophic climate change. International cooperation culminating at COP26 somewhat faltered in the face of the immense challenges the energy transition poses. Complexity was also demonstrated through the rise in LNG spot prices as Asia’s demand for energy rebounded. Though high spot LNG prices through this period proved lucrative for producers, the surge in prices pushed some Asian markets back to emission-intensive yet low-cost coal for energy generation, signalling the volatility and challenges of LNG’s position as an energy transition fuel. Conflict was seen when environmentally focused activist investors disrupted business-as-usual operations for several Australian and international firms, with all signs pointing to an intensification of this trend in the coming years. In response, capital markets rallied behind low-carbon energy investments with trillions of dollars flowing towards renewables, hydrogen and CCS projects. Finally, to compound the complexity of the myriad external forces, oil and gas firms coalesced around four key decarbonisation responses. Oil and gas firms focused efforts on: (1) strengthening and refining net zero commitments; (2) operational decarbonisation including CCS investment; (3) investment in low-carbon fuels including hydrogen; and (4) consolidation, to strengthen balance sheets, build business model resilience and diversify their portfolios.

Keywords: Australia, carbon abatement, carbon capture and storage, climate change, decarbonisation, energy, energy transition, gas, hydrogen, LNG, mitigation, natural resources, net zero, oil and gas.

Candice Bell is an Earth Scientist with 10 years’ experience in the upstream oil and gas industry. Candice currently works for KPMG as a Climate and Energy Transition Manager, where she supports industry and government to anticipate, manage and drive decarbonisation and the energy transition. Prior to KPMG, Candice worked at Origin Energy, where she held several roles across the APLNG value chain including in gas trading, integrated planning and transformation, and at Bechtel where she worked in project controls for the construction and commissioning of the Queensland Curtis LNG plant on Curtis Island. Candice has a degree in Earth Science from Queensland University of Technology.


References

Abnett K, Jessop S (2021) U.S., Canada among 20 countries to commit to stop financing fossil fuels abroad. Reuters. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/cop/19-countries-plan-cop26-deal-end-financing-fossil-fuels-abroad-sources-2021-11-03/

Ambrose J (2021) Exxonmobil and chevron suffer shareholder rebellions over climate. The Guardian. Available at https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/may/26/exxonmobil-and-chevron-braced-for-showdown-over-climate

Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility (2021) Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility files landmark case against Santos in federal court. Available at https://www.accr.org.au/news/australasian-centre-for-corporate-responsibility-files-landmark-case-against-santos-in-federal-court/

BHP (2021) BHP and woodside agree to create a global energy company. Available at https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2021/11/bhp-and-woodside-agree-to-create-a-global-energy-company

Bullard N (2022) Where the billions pouring into the energy transition are going: Renewable energy still drives investment volume but electrified transport is driving growth. Bloomberg Green. Available at https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-27/where-the-billions-pouring-into-the-energy-transition-are-going

Business Council of Australia (2021) Achieving a net zero economy. Available at https://www.bca.com.au/achieving_a_net_zero_economy

Chevron (2021a) Chevron sets net zero aspiration and new GHG intensity target. Available at https://www.chevron.com/stories/chevron-sets-net-zero-aspiration-and-new-ghg-intensity-target

Chevron (2021b) Gorgon carbon capture and storage. Available at https://australia.chevron.com/-/media/australia/publications/documents/gorgon-carbon-capture-and-storage--fact-sheet.pdf

Department for Industry Energy and Emissions Reduction (2021) Australia’s plan to reach our net zero target by 2050. Joint media release with Prime Minister the Hon Scott Morrison MP. (Commonwealth Government of Australia) Available at https://www.minister.industry.gov.au/ministers/taylor/media-releases/australias-plan-reach-our-net-zero-target-2050

Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources (2021a) Funding launched for carbon capture, use and storage hubs and technologies. Available at https://www.industry.gov.au/news/funding-launched-for-carbon-capture-use-and-storage-hubs-and-technologies

Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources (2021b) Australia’s emissions projections 2021. Available at https://www.industry.gov.au/data-and-publications/australias-emissions-projections-2021

Deveau S, Hurst L (2021) Activist investor Loeb takes Shell stake, pushes to break up company. (Bloomberg: online) Available at https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-27/activist-loeb-takes-shell-stake-and-pushes-for-a-break-up

European Commission (2021) Carbon border adjustment mechanism: questions and answers. Available at https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_3661

Gatto A, Loewenstein W, Sadik-Zada ER (2021) An extensive data set on energy, economy, environmental pollution and institutional quality in the petroleum-reliant developing and transition economies. Data in Brief 35, 106766

Glencore (2021) CTSCO project. Available at https://www.glencore.com.au/operations-and-projects/coal/projects/carbon-transport-and-storage-project

Gürsan C, de Gooyert V (2021) The systemic impact of a transition fuel: does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition? Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 138, 110552
The systemic impact of a transition fuel: does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Hegerl GC (2022) Climate change is physics. Communications Earth & Environment 3, 14
Climate change is physics.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Heli S (2021) CBAM! – Assessing potential costs of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism for emerging economies. BOFIT Policy Brief No. 10/2021. Available at http://hdl.handle.net/10419/251711

Hydrogen Council (2021) Hydrogen insights report 2021. Available at https://hydrogencouncil.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Hydrogen-Insights-2021.pdf

International Energy Agency (2021a) Gas market report Q1-2022. Available at https://www.iea.org/reports/gas-market-report-q1-2022

International Energy Agency (2021b) Net zero by 2050. Available at https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050

IPCC (2021) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Eds V Masson‐Delmotte, P Zhai, A Pirani, SL Connors, C Péan, S Berger, N Caud, Y Chen, L Goldfarb, MI Gomis, M Huang, K Leitzell, E Lonnoy, JBR Matthews, TK Maycock, T Waterfield, O Yelekçi, R Yu, B Zhou) Cambridge University Press. In Press.

Kemp J, McCowage M, Wang F (2021) Towards net zero: implications for Australia of energy policies in East Asia. (Reserve Bank of Australia: online) Available at https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2021/sep/towards-net-zero-implications-for-australia-of-energy-policies-in-east-asia.html

Lewis J (2022) Chevron’s flagship gorgon CCS project still failing to live up to expectations. (Upstream Energy Explored: online) Available at https://www.upstreamonline.com/energy-transition/chevrons-flagship-gorgon-ccs-project-still-failing-to-live-up-to-expectations/2-1-1166185

Liu PR, Raftery AE (2021) Country-based rate of emissions reductions should increase by 80% beyond nationally determined contributions to meet the 2 °C target. Communications Earth & Environment 2, 29
Country-based rate of emissions reductions should increase by 80% beyond nationally determined contributions to meet the 2 °C target.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Macdonald A, Redrup Y, Sood K (2021) Woodside, BHP set to finalise $40 billion merger. (Australian Financial Review: online) Available at https://www.afr.com/street-talk/woodside-bhp-set-to-finalise-40-billion-merger-20211122-p59b4l

Mitsui & Co. (2021) Joint feasibility study for creation of a supply chain of low carbon ammonia in Western Australia. Available at https://www.mitsui.com/jp/en/topics/2021/1242033_12171.html

Origin Energy (2021a) Green hydrogen project signs Port MoU. Available at https://www.originenergy.com.au/about/investors-media/green_hydrogen_project_signs_port_mou/

Origin Energy (2021b) Origin to halve emissions in line with Paris 2°C goal. Available at https://www.originenergy.com.au/about/investors-media/origin-to-halve-emissions-in-line-with-paris-2c-goal/

Petroni G, Holger D (2020) Major energy companies bet big on hydrogen. (The Wall Street Journal: online) Available at https://www.wsj.com/articles/major-energy-companies-bet-big-on-hydrogen-11603392160

Reuters (2021a) Chevron, partners to fork out for carbon offsets for Gorgon LNG carbon capture shortfall. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/chevron-invest-29-mln-address-co2-injection-shortfall-australia-lng-site-2021-11-11/

Reuters (2021b) Woodside, Santos investors reject activist’s oil, gas wind-up resolution. Available at https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/woodside-proxy-votes-show-19-favour-winding-up-oil-gas-operations-2021-04-15/

Royal Dutch Shell (2021) Shell accelerates drive for net-zero emissions with customer-first strategy. Available at https://www.shell.com/media/news-and-media-releases/2021/shell-accelerates-drive-for-net-zero-emissions-with-customer-first-strategy

Santos (2021) Santos announces FID on Moomba carbon capture and storage project. Available at https://www.santos.com/news/santos-announces-fid-on-moomba-carbon-capture-and-storage-project/

Searancke R (2021) Santos completes its acquisition of oil search. (Upstream Energy Explored: online) Available at https://www.upstreamonline.com/finance/santos-completes-its-acquisition-of-oil-search/2-1-1129635

S&P Global Commodity Insight (2021) Spot and term, Australian supply and Asian demand: indelible Links in the LNG market. Available at https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/blogs/lng/092321-lng-supply-demand-australia-asia-spot-term-markets

Taghizadeh-Hesary F, Rasoulinezhad E (2020) Analyzing energy transition patterns in Asia: evidence from countries with different income levels. Frontiers in Energy Research 8, 162
Analyzing energy transition patterns in Asia: evidence from countries with different income levels.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | [In English]

The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (2021) The role of hydrogen in the energy transition. Oxford Energy Forum May 2021: Issue 127. Available at https://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/OEF-127.pdf

The Transition Pathway Initiative (2021) ‘The TPI tool.’ (Grantham Research Institute LSE: online) Available at https://www.transitionpathwayinitiative.org/

Thompson J (2021) Australia industry ANZSIC report B0700/mining. IBISWorld.

UNFCCC (2021) ‘New financial alliance for net zero emissions launches.’ Available at https://unfccc.int/news/new-financial-alliance-for-net-zero-emissions-launches

United Nations (2021) Cop26: Together for our planet. COP26 summary. Available at https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/cop26

Woodside (2021a) 2021 climate report. Available at https://www.woodside.com.au/docs/default-source/investor-documents/major-reports-(static-pdfs)/2021-climate-report/climate-report-2021.pdf

Woodside (2021b) ‘Woodside’s H2Perth to make Western Australia a hydrogen powerhouse’. Available at https://www.woodside.com.au/docs/default-source/media-releases/woodside's-h2perth-to-make-western-australia-a-hydrogen-powerhouse.pdf?sfvrsn=3857b154_2