Free Standard AU & NZ Shipping For All Book Orders Over $80!
Register      Login
Animal Production Science Animal Production Science Society
Food, fibre and pharmaceuticals from animals
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Expanding a dairy business affects business and financial risk

A. Sinnett A , C. K. M. Ho A B and B. Malcolm A
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Parkville, 32 Lincoln Square, North Carlton, Vic. 3053, Australia.

B Corresponding author. Email: Christie.Ho@ecodev.vic.gov.au

Animal Production Science 57(10) 2167-2174 https://doi.org/10.1071/AN15041
Submitted: 27 January 2015  Accepted: 16 June 2016   Published: 24 August 2016

Abstract

Australia’s dairy farmers have expanded the size of their businesses in response to rising costs and falling prices. Dairy farmers pursuing increases in wealth encounter a greater risk associated with increased size, complexity and output. It is the consequences of risk that matter. Risk in a farm business can be partitioned into either business risk or financial risk. Previous research on changes to farm systems has primarily focussed on the impact of business risk, with less regard for financial risk. Our analysis has shown that expanding a farm business is likely to increase financial risk more than business risk. Before committing to the decision to expand their businesses, dairy farmers have control over the amount they borrow and, thus, some control over the exposure of their businesses to additional financial risk. Knowing the extra risk associated with extra debt is additional information that contributes to more informed decisions. In this research, an approach to assessing the change in business and financial risk associated with different expansion options is demonstrated.

Additional keywords: business growth, farm management economics.


References

ABARES (2013) ‘Farm debt: farm level analysis, in Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2013, vol. 3, no. 3.’ (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences: Canberra)

ABARES (2014) ‘Agricultural commodities: March quarter 2014, vol. 4, no. 1.’ (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences: Canberra)

Barry PJ, Ellinger PN, Hopkin JA, Baker CB (2000) ‘Financial management in agriculture.’ 6th edn. (Interstate Publishers: Danville, IL)

Dairy Australia (2013) ‘Australian dairy industry in focus 2013.’ (Dairy Australia: Melbourne)

Gabriel SC, Baker CB (1980) Concepts of business and financial risk. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 62, 560–564.
Concepts of business and financial risk.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Gilmour D (2011) ‘Dairy Industry Farm Monitor Project – the influence of farm size on income costs and profitability: results from the Dairy Industry Farm Monitor Project 2006–07 to 2010–11.’ (Department of Primary Industries: Bendigo, Vic.)

Gilmour D, Swann C, Ryan M, Nelson N (2012) Dairy Industry Farm Monitor Project: annual report 2011–12. Department of Primary Industries, Melbourne, Victoria.

Hadley GL, Harsh SB, Wolf CA (2002) Managerial and financial implications of major dairy farm expansions in Michigan and Wisconsin. Journal of Dairy Science 85, 2053–2064.
Managerial and financial implications of major dairy farm expansions in Michigan and Wisconsin.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD38Xmtl2rtLY%3D&md5=30609fd8e389d7060d979599735abac7CAS | 12214999PubMed |

Heady E (1952) ‘Economics of agricultural production and resource use.’ (Prentice-Hall: Englewood Cliffs, NJ)

Kalecki M (1937) The principle of increasing risk. Economica 4, 440–447.
The principle of increasing risk.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Malcolm B (2011) Financing matters. Australian Farm Business Management Journal 8, 11–18.

Malcolm B, Makeham J, Wright V (2005) ‘The farming game: agricultural management and marketing.’ 2nd edn. (Cambridge University Press: Melbourne)

McDonald R, Shalloo L, Pierce M, Horan B (2013) Evaluating expansion strategies for startup European Union dairy farm businesses. Journal of Dairy Science 96, 4059–4069.
Evaluating expansion strategies for startup European Union dairy farm businesses.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXltVGjt7Y%3D&md5=589d15076de3924318a3a3acd0c0da04CAS | 23548283PubMed |

Osburn DD, Schneeberger KC (1978) ‘Modern agriculture management.’ (Reston Publishing Company: Reston, VA)

Pallisade (2013) ‘@Risk: risk analysis and simulation add-in for Microsoft Excel version 6.’ (Pallisade Corporation: Newfield, NY)

Sinnett (2004) Size and reorganisation of dairy farm businesses. PhD Thesis, University of Melbourne.

Yin RK (1994) ‘Case study research: design and methods.’ 2nd edn. (Sage Publications: Thousand Oaks, CA)