Incorporating habitat preference into the stock assessment and management of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the Pacific Ocean
Nan-Jay Su A , Chi-Lu Sun A D , André E. Punt B , Su-Zan Yeh A and Gerard DiNardo CA Institute of Oceanography, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10 617, Taiwan.
B School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98 195, USA.
C NOAA Fisheries, Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, HI 96 822, USA.
D Corresponding author. Email: chilu@ntu.edu.tw
Marine and Freshwater Research 63(7) 565-575 https://doi.org/10.1071/MF11244
Submitted: 4 November 11 Accepted: 1 May 2012 Published: 27 June 2012
Abstract
Stock assessments that include a spatial component or relate population dynamics to environmental conditions can be considered one way of implementing an ecosystem approach to fisheries. A spatially-structured population dynamics model that takes account of habitat preference is developed and then applied to Pacific blue marlin (Makaira nigricans), as they prefer certain habitats and migrate seasonally. The model is fitted to fishery catch-rate and size data, along with information on the relative density of the population over space derived from a habitat preference model fitted to oceanographic and biological variables. Results show that blue marlin are more abundant in tropical waters, and females account for most of the biomass. Assessments that allow for environmental factors, movement dynamics and sexual dimorphism indicate that this population is in an over-exploited state, with current spawning stock biomass below the level corresponding to maximum sustainable yield (SMSY) and current fishing mortality exceeding that needed to achieve MSY (FMSY). A risk analysis based on samples from a Bayesian posterior distribution suggests that the population will remain above SMSY after 20 years if exploitation rates are below the level corresponding to FMSY.
Additional keywords: environmental variation, movement dynamics, risk analysis, sexual dimorphism, spatially structured model.
References
Beverton, R. J. H., and Holt, S. J. (1957). ‘On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations. Fishery Investment Series 2, Vol. 19.’ (Food and Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture UK: London.)Cordue, P. L., and Francis, R. I. C. C. (1994). Accuracy and choice in risk estimation for fisheries assessment. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 51, 817–829.
| Accuracy and choice in risk estimation for fisheries assessment.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Cox, S. P., Essington, T. E., Kitchell, J. F., Martell, S. J. D., Walters, C. J., Boggs, C., and Kaplan, I. (2002). Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952–1998: I. Estimating population biomass and recruitment of tunas and billfishes. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 59, 1724–1735.
| Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952–1998: I. Estimating population biomass and recruitment of tunas and billfishes.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Cunningham, C. (2002). Improved management of North East Atlantic mackerel, using Bayesian modelling methodologies. PhD thesis, Imperial College, London.
Dai, C. Y. (2002). Estimates of age, growth and mortality of blue marlin, Makaira mazara, in the western Pacific using the length-based MULTIFAN method. MSc thesis, National Taiwan University.
Deriso, R. B., Maunder, M. N., and Skalski, J. R. (2007). Variance estimation in integrated assessment models and its importance for hypothesis testing. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 64, 187–197.
| Variance estimation in integrated assessment models and its importance for hypothesis testing.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Fonteneau, A., and Ariz, J. (2008). An overview of 10 years of IATTC bigeye stock assessments in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. In ‘The 9th Stock assessment review meeting, La Jolla, 12–16 May 2008’. (Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission: La Jolla, San Diego, CA.)
Francis, R. I. C. C. (1992). Use of risk analysis to assess fishery management strategies: a case study using orange roughy (Hoplostethus atlanticus) on the Chatham Rise, New Zealand. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 49, 922–930.
| Use of risk analysis to assess fishery management strategies: a case study using orange roughy (Hoplostethus atlanticus) on the Chatham Rise, New Zealand.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Funamoto, T. (2011). Causes of walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) recruitment decline in the northern Sea of Japan: implications for stock management. Fisheries Oceanography 20, 95–103.
| Causes of walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) recruitment decline in the northern Sea of Japan: implications for stock management.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., and Rubin, D. B. (2004). ‘Bayesian Data Analysis.’ (Chapman and Hall: London.)
Geweke, J. (1992). Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to the calculation of posterior moments. In ‘Bayesian Statistics 4’. (Eds J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith.) pp. 169–193. (Oxford University Press: Oxford.)
Graves, J. E., and McDowell, J. R. (2003). Stock structure of the world’s istiophorid billfishes: a genetic perspective. Marine and Freshwater Research 54, 287–298.
| Stock structure of the world’s istiophorid billfishes: a genetic perspective.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Heidelberger, P., and Welch, P. D. (1983). Simulation run length control in the presence of an initial transient. Operations Research 31, 1109–1144.
| Simulation run length control in the presence of an initial transient.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Hinton, M. G. (2001). Status of blue marlin in the Pacific Ocean. In ‘Stock Assessment Report 1, Status of Tuna and Billfish Stocks in 1999’. pp. 284–319. (Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission: La Jolla, San Diego, CA.)
Holland, K. N., Brill, R. W., and Chang, R. K. C. (1990). Horizontal and vertical movements of Pacific blue marlin captured and released using sportfishing gear. Fishery Bulletin 88, 397–402.
Jensen, A. L. (1996). Beverton and Holt life history invariants result from optimal trade-off of reproduction and survival. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 53, 820–822.
| Beverton and Holt life history invariants result from optimal trade-off of reproduction and survival.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Kerstetter, D. W., Luckhurst, B. E., Prince, E. D., and Graves, J. E. (2003). Use of pop-up satellite archival tags to demonstrate survival of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) released from pelagic longline gear. Fishery Bulletin 101, 939–948.
Kitchell, J. F., Martell, S. J. D., Walters, C. J., Jensen, O. P., Kaplan, I. C., Watters, J., Essington, T. E., and Boggs, C. H. (2006). Billfishes in an ecosystem context. Bulletin of Marine Science 79, 669–682.
Kleiber, P., Hinton, M. G., and Uozumi, Y. (2003). Stock assessment of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the Pacific using MUNTIFAN-CL. Marine and Freshwater Research 54, 349–360.
| Stock assessment of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the Pacific using MUNTIFAN-CL.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Lehodey, P., Senina, I., Sibert, J., Bopp, L., Calmettes, B., Hampton, J., and Murtugudde, R. (2010). Preliminary forecasts of Pacific bigeye tuna population trends under the A2 IPCC scenario. Progress in Oceanography 86, 302–315.
| Preliminary forecasts of Pacific bigeye tuna population trends under the A2 IPCC scenario.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Link, J. S., Bundy, A., Overholtz, W. J., Shackell, N., Manderson, J., Duplisea, D., Hare, J., Koen-Alonso, M., and Friedland, K. D. (2011). Ecosystem-based fisheries management in the Northwest Atlantic. Fish and Fisheries 12, 152–170.
| Ecosystem-based fisheries management in the Northwest Atlantic.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Magnusson, A., and Hilborn, R. (2007). What makes fisheries data informative? Fish and Fisheries 8, 337–358.
| What makes fisheries data informative?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Maunder, M. N., Schnute, J. T., and Ianelli, J. N. (2009). Computers in fisheries population dynamics. In ‘Computers in Fisheries Research’. (Eds B. Megrey and E. Moksness.) pp. 337–372. (Springer: Dordrecht, The Netherlands.)
Methot, R. D. (2009). ‘User Manual for Stock Synthesis. Model Version 3.02C.’ (Northwest Fisheries Science Center, NOAA Fisheries: Seattle, WA.)
Ovaskainen, O., Rkola, H., Meyke, E., and Arjas, E. (2008). Bayesian methods for analyzing movements in heterogeneous landscapes from mark-recapture data. Ecology 89, 542–554.
| Bayesian methods for analyzing movements in heterogeneous landscapes from mark-recapture data.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Plummer, M., Best, N., Cowles, K., and Vines, K. (2006). ‘CODA: Output Analysis and Diagnostics for MCMC Simulations.’ Available at http://www-fis.iarc.fr/coda/ [accessed 1 September 2011].
Polovina, J. J., Dunne, J. P., Woodworth, P. A., and Howell, E. A. (2011). Projected expansion of the subtropical biome and contraction of the temperate and equatorial upwelling biomes in the North Pacific under global warming. ICES Journal of Marine Science 68, 986–995.
| Projected expansion of the subtropical biome and contraction of the temperate and equatorial upwelling biomes in the North Pacific under global warming.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Punt, A. E., and Hilborn, R. (1997). Fisheries stock assessment and decision analysis: the Bayesian approach. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 7, 35–63.
| Fisheries stock assessment and decision analysis: the Bayesian approach.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Raftery, A. E., and Lewis, S. (1992). How many iterations in the Gibbs sampler? In ‘Bayesian Statistics 4’. (Eds J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith.) pp. 763–773. (Oxford University Press: Oxford.)
Richardson, D. E., Llopiz, J. K., Guigand, C. M., and Cowen, R. K. (2010). Larval assemblages of large and medium-sized pelagic species in the Straits of Florida. Progress in Oceanography 86, 8–20.
| Larval assemblages of large and medium-sized pelagic species in the Straits of Florida.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Su, N. J., Sun, C. L., Punt, A. E., and Yeh, S. Z. (2008a). Environmental and spatial effects on the distribution of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) as inferred from data for longline fisheries in the Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 17, 432–445.
| Environmental and spatial effects on the distribution of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) as inferred from data for longline fisheries in the Pacific Ocean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Su, N. J., Yeh, S. Z., Sun, C. L., Punt, A. E., Chen, Y., and Wang, S. P. (2008b). Standardizing catch and effort data of the Taiwanese distant-water longline fishery in the western and central Pacific Ocean for bigeye tuna, Thunnus obesus. Fisheries Research 90, 235–246.
| Standardizing catch and effort data of the Taiwanese distant-water longline fishery in the western and central Pacific Ocean for bigeye tuna, Thunnus obesus.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Su, N. J., Sun, C. L., Punt, A. E., Yeh, S. Z., and DiNardo, G. (2011a). Modelling the impacts of environmental variation on the distribution of blue marlin, Makaira nigricans, in the Pacific Ocean. ICES Journal of Marine Science 68, 1072–1080.
| Modelling the impacts of environmental variation on the distribution of blue marlin, Makaira nigricans, in the Pacific Ocean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Su, N. J., Sun, C. L., Punt, A. E., Yeh, S. Z., and DiNardo, G. (2011b). Evaluation of a spatially sex-specific assessment method incorporating a habitat preference model for blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 20, 415–433.
| Evaluation of a spatially sex-specific assessment method incorporating a habitat preference model for blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the Pacific Ocean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Sun, C. L., Chang, Y. J., Tszeng, C. C., Yeh, S. Z., and Su, N. J. (2009). Reproductive biology of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) in the western Pacific Ocean. Fishery Bulletin 107, 420–432.
Wang, S. P., Sun, C. L., Punt, A. E., and Yeh, S. Z. (2007). Application of the sex-specific age-structured assessment method for swordfish, Xiphias gladius, in the North Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Research 84, 282–300.
| Application of the sex-specific age-structured assessment method for swordfish, Xiphias gladius, in the North Pacific Ocean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Ward, P., and Hindmarsh, S. (2007). An overview of historical changes in the fishing gear and practices of pelagic longliners, with particular reference to Japan’s Pacific fleet. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 17, 501–516.
| An overview of historical changes in the fishing gear and practices of pelagic longliners, with particular reference to Japan’s Pacific fleet.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Yuen, H. S. H., and Miyake, P. M. (1980). Blue marlin, Makaira nigricans. In ‘Summary Report of the Billfish Stock Assessment Workshop Pacific Resources, Honolulu, Hawaii, 5–14 December 1977. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS, NOAA-TM-NMFS-SWFC-5’. (Ed. R. S. Shomura.) pp. 13–19. (Southwest Fisheries Science Center, NOAA Fisheries: La Jolla, San Diego, CA.)