Variability and trend of sea level in southern waters of Java, Indonesia
Amalia Nurlatifah A * , Martono A , Indah Susanti A and Mamat Suhermat AA Center of Atmospheric Research and Technology, National Research and Innovation Agency, Bandung, West Java, 40173, Indonesia.
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 71(3) 272-283 https://doi.org/10.1071/ES21004
Submitted: 13 February 2021 Accepted: 3 October 2021 Published: 8 December 2021
© 2021 The Author(s) (or their employer(s)). Published by CSIRO Publishing on behalf of BoM. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND)
Abstract
The coastal area of Java has become a centre of new economic growth. The southern coast of Java, which is directly adjacent to the tropical Indian Ocean, is very vulnerable to sea level rise caused by climate change. Information on variability and trends in sea level are therefore very important for adaptation and disaster mitigation efforts. This research was conducted to determine the variability and trend of sea level in the southern sea of Java. Data used were from satellite altimeter from 1993 to 2018 and tide gauges from 2007 to 2015. The rate of sea level rise was analysed using linear regression. The results showed that the sea level variability in the southern waters of Java was influenced by the Asian–Australian monsoon, eddy currents and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). During June–November, there was a very significant decrease in sea level, especially in the south of East Java and Central Java, which was caused by upwelling and eddy currents. When there was a positive phase of IOD and an El Niño event, sea level decreased; conversely, when the IOD was in a negative phase, sea level increased. For the period 1993–2018, the sea level in the southern waters of Java increased by about 4.7 mm/year.
Keywords: climate change, dipole mean index, EL Niño southern oscillation, Indonesia, Indian ocean dipole, sea level rise, sea level anomalies, southern Java, southern oscillation index, variability.
References
ADB (2016) Indonesia: country water assessment. Asian Development Bank (ADB), Mandaluyong City, Philippines. Available at https://www.adb.org/documents/indonesia-country-water-assessmentBicknell C (2010) Sea level change in Western Australia. Department of Transport Coastal Infrastructure, Coastal Engineering Group.
Church JA, Hunter JR, McInnes KL, White NJ (2006) Sea-level rise around the Australian coastline and the changing frequency of extreme sea-level events. Australian Meteorological Magazine 55, 253–260.
Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Merrifield MA, Milne GA, Nerem RS, Nunn PD, Payne AJ, Pfeffer WT, Stammer D, Unnikrishnan AS (2013) Sea level change. In ‘Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change’. (Eds TF Stocker, D Qin, G-K Plattner, M Tignor, SK Allen, J Boschung, A Nauels, Y Xia,V Bex, PM Midgley) pp. 1137–1216 (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge).
Douglas BC (1991) Global sea level rise. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 96, 6981–6992.
| Global sea level rise.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Fadlan A, Sugianto DN, Kunarso , Zainuri M (2017) Influence of ENSO and IOD to Variability of Sea Surface Height in the North and South of Java Island IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 55, 012021
| Influence of ENSO and IOD to Variability of Sea Surface Height in the North and South of Java IslandCrossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Fenoglio-Marc L, Schöne T, Illigner J, Becker M, Manurung P, Khafid (2012) Sea level change and vertical motion from satellite altimetry, tide gauges and GPS in the Indonesian region. Marine Geodesy 35, 137–150.
| Sea level change and vertical motion from satellite altimetry, tide gauges and GPS in the Indonesian region.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Gharineiat Z, Deng X (2018) Description and assessment of regional sea-level trends and variability from altimetry and tide gauges at the northern Australian coast. Advances in Space Research 61, 2540–2554.
| Description and assessment of regional sea-level trends and variability from altimetry and tide gauges at the northern Australian coast.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Han W, Meehl GA, Rajagopalan B, Fasullo JT, Hu A, Lin J, Large WG, Wang J-w, Quan X-W, Trenary LL, Wallcraft A, Shinoda T, Yeager S (2010) Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate. Nature Geoscience 3, 546–550.
| Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Hecht JE (2016) Indonesia: costs of climate change 2050. Policy brief. Climate Change Adaptation Thought Leadership, and Assessments. United States Agency for International Development (USAID). Available at https://www.climatelinks.org/sites/default/files/asset/document/Indonesia%20Costs%20of%20CC%202050%20Policy%20Brief.pdf
Kumar SP, Nuncio M, Narvekar J, Kumar A, Sardesai S, de Souza SN, Gauns M, Ramaiah N, Madhupratap M (2004) Are eddies nature’s trigger to enhance biological productivity in the Bay of Bengal? Geophysical Research Letters 31, L07309
| Are eddies nature’s trigger to enhance biological productivity in the Bay of Bengal?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Kuswardani RTD, Qiao F (2014) Influence of the Indonesian throughflow on the upwelling off the east coast of South Java. Chinese Science Bulletin 59, 4516–4523.
| Influence of the Indonesian throughflow on the upwelling off the east coast of South Java.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Li X, Rowley RJ, Kostelnick JC, Braaten D, Meisel J, Hulbutta K (2009) GIS analysis of global impacts from sea level rise. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 75, 807–818.
| GIS analysis of global impacts from sea level rise.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Mansawan AA, Lumban-Gaol J, Panjaitan JP (2016) Variation and trend of sea level derived from altimetry satellite and tide gauge in Cilacap and Benoa coastal areas. International Journal of Remote Sensing Earth Sciences 13, 59–66.
Marfai MA (2014) Impact of sea level rise to coastal ecology: a case study on the northern part of Java Island, Indonesia. Quaestiones Geographicae 33, 107–114.
| Impact of sea level rise to coastal ecology: a case study on the northern part of Java Island, Indonesia.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
McInnes KL, Church J, Monselesan D, Hunter JR, O’Grady JG, Haigh ID, Zhang X (2015) Information for Australian impact and adaptation planning in response to sea-level rise. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 65, 127–149.
| Information for Australian impact and adaptation planning in response to sea-level rise.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Measey M (2010) Indonesia: a vulnerable country in the face of climate change. Global Majority E-Journal 1, 31–45.
Meyssignac B, Cazenave A (2012) Sea level: a review of present-day and recent-past changes and variability. Journal of Geodynamics 58, 96–109.
| Sea level: a review of present-day and recent-past changes and variability.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Nababan B, Hadianti S, Natih N (2015) Dynamic of sea level anomaly of Indonesian waters (in Bahasa Indonesia). Journal Ilmu dan Teknologi Kelautan Tropis 7, 259–272.
| Dynamic of sea level anomaly of Indonesian waters (in Bahasa Indonesia).Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Nicholls RJ (2003) Case study on sea level rise impacts. OECD workshop on the benefits of climate policy: improving information for policy makers. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, France.
Ningsih NS, Rakhmaputeri N, Harto AB (2013) Upwelling variability along the southern coast of Bali and in Nusa Tenggara Waters. Ocean Science Journal 48, 49–57.
| Upwelling variability along the southern coast of Bali and in Nusa Tenggara Waters.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Oliver-Smith A (2009) ‘Sea level rise and the vulnerability of coastal peoples: responding to the local challenges of global climate change in the 21st century’. (Interdisciplinary Security Connections, Publication Series of UNU-EHS, No. 7: Bonn)
Qu T, Du Y, Strachan J, Meyers G, Slingo J (2005) Sea surface temperature and its variability in the Indonesian region. Oceanography 18, 50–61.
| Sea surface temperature and its variability in the Indonesian region.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Siebentritt M (2016) ‘Understanding sea-level rise and climate change, and associated impacts on the coastal zone. CoastAdapt Information Manual 2’. (National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility: Gold Coast)
Sofian I (2010) Scientific basis: analysis and projection of sea level rise and extreme weather event. Indonesia Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap, Bappenas.
Susanto RD, Marra J (2005) Effect of the 1997/98 el niño on chlorophyll a variability along the Southern Coasts of Java and Sumatra. Oceanography 18, 124–127.
| Effect of the 1997/98 el niño on chlorophyll a variability along the Southern Coasts of Java and Sumatra.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Susanto RD, Gordon AL, Zheng Q (2001) Upwelling along the coasts of Java and Sumatra and its relation to ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters 28, 1599–1602.
| Upwelling along the coasts of Java and Sumatra and its relation to ENSO.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Triana K, Wahyudi AJ (2020) Sea Level Rise in Indonesia: The Drivers and the Combined Impacts from Land Subsidence ASEAN Journal on Science and Technology for Development 37, 115–121.
| Sea Level Rise in Indonesia: The Drivers and the Combined Impacts from Land SubsidenceCrossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Vinayachandran PN, Saji NH, Yamagata T (1999) Response of the Equatorial Indian Ocean to an unusual wind event during 1994. Geophysical Research Letters 26, 1613–1616.
| Response of the Equatorial Indian Ocean to an unusual wind event during 1994.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Webster PJ, Moore AM, Loschnigg JP, Leben RR (1999) Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98. Nature 401, 356–360.
| Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 16862107PubMed |
White NJ, Haigh ID, Church JA, et al (2014) Australian sea levels—Trends, regional variability and influencing factors Earth-Science Reviews 136, 155–174.
| Australian sea levels—Trends, regional variability and influencing factorsCrossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Wirasatriya A, Setiawan RY, Subardjo P (2017) The Effect of ENSO on the Variability of Chlorophyll-a and Sea Surface Temperature in the Maluku Sea IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 10, 5513–5518.
| The Effect of ENSO on the Variability of Chlorophyll-a and Sea Surface Temperature in the Maluku SeaCrossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Wyrtki K (1961) ‘Physical oceanography of the southeast Asian waters’. (The University of California Scripps Institution of Oceanography: La Jolla, CA)
Zhang X, Church JA (2011) Linear trend of regional sea‐level change in the Pacific Ocean and its relationship with background decadal oscillation. Paper presented at International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General Assembly, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Zikra M, Suntoyo , Lukijanto (2015) Climate change impacts on Indonesian coastal areas. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science 14, 57–63.
| Climate change impacts on Indonesian coastal areas.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |