Development of long-distance and large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) value chain using liquefied CO2 ship transportation
Daein Cha A *A
With over 25 years of energy and resources industries experience and through senior roles for international business development, major capital project management, and commodity sales and trading at Tokyo Gas and Chevron, Daein Cha brings extensive expertise, experience and network to originate and develop multi-billion dollars industrial projects. Daein is currently the Director of Transborders Energy (mid-scale gas resource commercialisation company) and Managing Director of deepC Store (commercial scale CCS project developer). Daein received his Bachelor’s degree in management from the International Christian University (Japan), Master’s degree in business administration from the University of Virginia Darden School of Business, and qualification as Certified Cost Professional of AACE International. Daein is also a certified member of the Association of International Energy Negotiators and the Society of Decision Professionals. |
Abstract
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is central to clean energy transition. Globally, potential aggregated carbon dioxide (CO2) storage resource capacity is ~13,000 billion tonnes. Assuming global greenhouse gas emissions of 51 billion tonnes per annum, CO2 storage capacity equates to 250 years of global emissions reduction. While there is significant momentum to deploy CCS technology for meeting Paris Agreement targets, the key challenge for offering CCS to all industrial sectors is that many major CO2 emission sources are located hundreds of kilometres away from geological storage sites. To address this key challenge, there is a need to develop a long-distance and large-scale CCS value chain that utilises liquefied CO2 (LCO2) ship transportation. This paper discusses key technical, commercial, and regulatory considerations that must be addressed in parallel for developing such a CCS value chain. More specifically, it will cover the following: (1) technical – CO2 liquefaction condition, CO2 supply specification and LCO2 ship parcel size; (2) commercial – business model (ownership of CO2 retained by emitters or transferred to CCS project proponent), CO2 supply or CCS facility lease terms and conditions; and (3) regulatory – domestic versus transboundary projects and associated needs for policy and legislative underpinning.
Keywords: carbon capture storage, carbon capture storage Asia Pacific, carbon capture storage Australia, CCS, CCS APAC, CCS Asia Pacific, CCS Australia, floating CCS hub, liquefied CO2 ship transport.
Context
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is central to clean energy transition. Globally, potential aggregated geological carbon dioxide (CO2) storage capacity is ~13,000 billion tonnes (Global CCS Institute 2021). Assuming annual global emissions of 51 billion tonnes (Gates 2021), storage capacity equates to 250 years of global emissions reduction.
The key challenge for CCS is that many emission sources are located hundreds of kilometres away from geological storage sites. To address this, the author proposes to develop long-distance, large-scale CCS value chains utilising liquefied CO2 (LCO2) ship transportation. Regarding cost comparison of transportation, the Japanese Government highlights that (Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry (METI) 2022a):
Key technical considerations
Liquefaction conditions
LCO2 can be transported under three pressure regimes:
As pressure increases, tank wall thickness increases relative to tank size. This increases unit cost due to increased tank wall thickness and quantity of steel required for the pressure increase.
CO2 liquefaction conditions will influence design, cost, and operations of the entire value chain:
(4) Onshore facilities: affects liquefaction facility and storage tanks;
(5) LCO2 ship: affects storage tanks and hull;
(6) CO2 injection facilities: affects storage tanks and CO2 conditioning equipment.
It is also noted that:
(7) For LP and MP conditions, concentration of light ends (H2, CH4, N2, Ar, CO, C2) in the bulk liquid is reduced to levels that match the actual solubility in LCO2, resulting in a higher purity CO2 fluid. The author highlights (deepC Store Pty Ltd 2023):
(8) For HP conditions, no BOG management is expected since light ends will not drop out of the CO2 fluid (deepC Store Pty Ltd 2023).
CO2 supply specifications
The following considerations are proposed:
Specification for the three liquefaction conditions (LP, MP, HP) is identical, with CO2 limit expected to be ≥95% (deepC Store Pty Ltd 2023).
Provided specification is adhered to prior to liquefaction, there is no requirement for compositional control post liquefaction (deepC Store Pty Ltd 2023).
LCO2 ship parcel size
Determining ship parcel size is a key design decision due to its impact on design, cost, and operation of the entire value chain:
Key commercial considerations
Context
Currently, 230 Million Tonnes per Annum (MTPA) of CO2 are used by fertiliser industry, etc. (International Energy Agency 2019). This equates to >1% of annual global emissions. Setting aside CO2 being used, captured CO2 has limited commercial value. Instead, value is derived from the following regulatory constructs that allow for monetary value generation (Association of International Energy Negotiators 2024):
Risks and opportunities across the CCS value chain
Key risks and opportunities are summarised in Table 1.
Key risks and opportunities | Description | ||
---|---|---|---|
Risks | Cost/schedule overrun and performance risks | Risk of overrun of EPC schedule and/or cost; risk of achieving performance threshold within and outside the warranty period from EPC handover | |
Delivery/offtake risks | Risk of meeting annual CCS contract volume and/or agreed CO2 specification | ||
Asset damage/loss risks | Risks of asset damage or loss due to force majeure (FM) or non-FM event(s) during EPC and operation | ||
Payment risks | Failure of counterparties to pay agreed fees | ||
CO2 price risk | Risk of carbon credit market price fluctuation relative to CCS contract price and/or failure of carbon credits to be obtained (where relevant) | ||
Environmental liabilities | Remediation and third party liability obligation for CO2 leakage/release | ||
Decommissioning liabilities | Obligation to decommission facilities after completion of operation | ||
Long term sequestration liability | Perpetual obligation to keep CO2 geologically sequestered | ||
Opportunities | Under-run of EPC schedule and/or cost | Opportunity to deliver CCS facility under budget and/or earlier than planned | |
Excess CCS volume/capacity | Opportunity to capture and store more than annual CCS contract volume | ||
CO2 price upside | Opportunity of carbon credit marked price fluctuation relative to CCS contract price | ||
Residual value of facilities after initial contract duration | Opportunity to continue CCS activities beyond initial CCS contract duration |
Business models
Key risks and opportunities need to be addressed through suitable allocation to parties best positioned to manage them, contractual arrangements to clarify associated terms and conditions, and risk mitigations and remedies by parties managing them. The decision on ‘who owns the CO2 injected’ (CO2 Supplier or CCS project proponent) is also important.
Table 2 compares two business models based on allocation of key risks and opportunities between CO2 Supplier and CCS project proponent.
Key risks and opportunities | Business models | Notes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CO2 ownership retained by CO2 supplier | CO2 ownership transferred to CCS project proponent | ||||||
CO2 supplier | CCS project proponent | CO2 supplier | CCS project proponent | ||||
Risks | Cost/schedule overrun and performance risks | Risk owner for CO2 capture scope | Risk owner for transportation and storage scope | Risk owner for CO2 capture scope | Risk owner for transportation and storage scope | No difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models | |
Delivery/offtake risks | While there is no difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models, the owner of the CO2 will be held liable by the government(s) for fulfilling annual CCS volume and meeting agreed CO2 specification | ||||||
Asset damage/loss risks | No difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models | ||||||
Payment risks | Risk of cost recovery for CO2 capture scope | Risk of cost recovery for transportation and storage scope | Risk of cost recovery for CO2 capture scope | Risk of cost recovery for transportation and storage scope | |||
CO2 price risk | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | |||
Environmental liabilities | Risk owner for CO2 capture scope | Risk owner for transportation and storage scope | Risk owner for CO2 capture scope | Risk owner for transportation and storage scope | While there is no difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models, the owner of the CO2 will be held liable by the government(s) for fulfilling obligation when CO2 leakage/release occurs. | ||
Decommissioning liability | No difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models | ||||||
Long-term sequestration liability (post CCS operation completion) | Risk owner | – | – | Risk owner | Until the obligation is transferred to the relevant government, the owner of the CO2 is liable. | ||
Opportunities | Under-run of EPC schedule and/or cost | Potential beneficiary for CO2 capture scope | Potential beneficiary for transportation and storage scope | Potential beneficiary for CO2 capture scope | Potential beneficiary for transportation and storage scope | No difference in risk allocation nor contractual arrangement between business models | |
Excess CCS volume/capacity | Beneficiary | Beneficiary | Beneficiary | Beneficiary | |||
CO2 price upside | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | Subject to price mechanism | |||
Residual value of facilities after initial contract duration | Beneficiary | Beneficiary | Beneficiary | Beneficiary |
Key policy and regulatory considerations
Business conditions were assessed by leveraging IEA’s assessment categories for CCS policy and regulatory mechanisms (International Energy Agency 2023):
(1) Enabling legislation and rules: legal basis for effective stewardship of CCS activities.
(2) Cost reduction measures: government grants, loans, and tax credits; can also refer to involvement of State Owned Enterprises (SOE) and/or government equity investment.
(3) Carbon pricing measures: price on carbon for incentivising CO2 emitters to reduce emissions.
(4) Strategic signalling by government: policies highlighting CCS as a strategic area of interest.
Assessment result is shown in Table 3:
EU | USA | Australia | Malaysia | Indonesia | Japan | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Enabling legislation and rules | ● | ● | ● | ● | ● | ▲ | |
Cost reduction measures | ● | ● | ▲ | ● | ● | ▲ | |
Carbon pricing measures | ● | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | |
Strategic signalling by government | ● | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ● |
● Sufficient measures in place.
▲ Measures insufficient.
Assessment basis is:
(1) Enabling legislation and rules
EU: CCS Directive establishes the EU legal framework (International Energy Agency 2023).
USA: legislation implemented at Federal and State-level (Global CCS Institute 2023).
Australia: Australia has highly advanced legal and regulatory regimes at Commonwealth and State-level (Global CCS Institute 2023)
Malaysia and Indonesia: legal frameworks established (Global CCS Institute 2023).
(2) Cost reduction measures
EU: Innovation Fund awarded over EUR 1.7 billion to 15 projects with a CCUS component since 2020 (International Energy Agency 2023).
USA: Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) provides approximately USD 12 billion for CCUS through 2026 (International Energy Agency 2023). 45Q tax credit provides projects with significant tax credits. IIJA also establishes USD 2.1 billion CO2 Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act program to provide loans, loan guarantees and grants to CO2 transportation projects (International Energy Agency 2023).
Australia: Carbon Capture Technologies Program supports research and devlopment to capture and use CO2, providing AUD 65 million between 2023 and 2031 (Australian Government DISR 2023). Powering the Regions Fund grant could support CCS (Australian Government DCCEEW 2023).
Malaysia: Petronas (SOE) took FID on Kasawari CCS (3.3 MTPA capacity) in 2022 (Association of International Energy Negotiators 2024). Petronas signed a Memorandum of Cooperation with Japan’s METI and Japan Organisation for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC) to strengthen collaboration on transboundary CCUS (Association of International Energy Negotiators 2024).
Indonesia: Pertamina (SOE) signed preliminary agreements with ExxonMobil and Chevron to develop its own CCS hub (Association of International Energy Negotiators 2024).
Japan: In 2023, JOGMEC announced seven projects (two with overseas storage) to provide funding support (JOGMEC 2023). Japan’s CCS Long Term Roadmap considers ongoing funding support to achieve ‘operation ready’ status for total 6–12 MTPA CCS capacity by 2030, though details not announced (Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) 2022b).
(3) Carbon pricing measures
EU: EU ETS applies to all EU countries plus Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway (International Energy Agency 2023).
Australia: Introduced ETS system via its Safeguard Mechanism reform (International Energy Agency 2023).
(4) Strategic signalling by government
EU: EU’s Net Zero Industry Act proposes to set an EU-wide goal to achieve CCS capacity of at least 50 MTPA by 2030 (International Energy Agency 2023).
Japan: CCS Long Term Roadmap aims to achieve ‘operation ready’ status for total capacity of 6–12 MTPA by 2030, and 120–240 MTPA by 2050 (Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) 2022b).
Key considerations for enabling transboundary CCS
The following actions are required among nations to enable transboundary CCS:
(1) Deposit a unilateral declaration on the provisional application of 2009 Amendment to Article 6 of the London Protocol (International Maritime Organization 2019). To date, seven countries (Denmark, South Korea, Netherlands, Norway, United Kingdom, Belgium, and Sweden) have deposited this declaration (Global CCS Institute 2023).
(2) Execute a bilateral agreement including allocation of responsibilities, consistent with the London Protocol and other applicable international law. To date, Belgium and Denmark entered into a memorandum of understanding for CO2 transportation (Global CCS Institute 2023), Norway, France, Germany, Poland, and Sweden are taking steps to formalise agreements (Global CCS Institute 2023).
Conclusion
Developing large-scale CCS value chains underpinned by LCO2 ship transportation is essential for resolving the key challenge of distance between the emission sources and geological storage sites and fully unlocking the potential to offer CCS to all industrial sectors.
Ongoing collaborative effort is needed among regulators, CO2 Suppliers and CCS project proponents to address key technical, commercial, and regulatory considerations for enabling domestic and transboundary CCS value chains.
Data availability
The author confirms that the data supporting the findings of this study are available within the paper and references cited herein.
Conflicts of interest
The author works for deepC Store Pty Ltd, an Australian company that currently develops ‘CStore1,’ a commercial scale CCS project in offshore Australia that uses the LCO2 ship transportation and the ‘Floating CCS Hub’ development concept.
Acknowledgements
The author would like to acknowledge members of deepC Store Pty Ltd and members of deepC Store Pty Ltd’s partners (CStore1 Partners) for their input and support to co-develop the ‘Floating CCS Hub’ development concept for deployment in offshore Australia. The CStore1 Partners are (in alphabetical order) ABL Group, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration Corporation, Kyushu Electric Power, Mitsui OSK Lines, Osaka Gas, Osaka Gas Australia, Technip Energies and Toho Gas. deepC Store Pty Ltd also thanks PGS ASA, Azuli International Ltd and Azuli (Australia) Pty Ltd for their support.
References
Association of International Energy Negotiators (2024), White Paper Carbon Capture, Use and Storage (CCUS) Opportunities and Implications for the AIEN. Available at https://www.aien.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/AIEN-CCUS-Whitepaper.pdf
Australian Government DCCEEW (2023) Carbon Capture, Use and Storage – Government Programs. Available at https://www.dcceew.gov.au/climate-change/emissions-reduction/carbon-capture-use-storage
Australian Government DISR (2023) Grant Opportunity Guidelines Carbon Capture Technologies Program. Available at https://business.gov.au/grants-and-programs/carbon-capture-technologies-program
deepC Store Pty Ltd (2023) deepC Store submits its CO2 supply specification to the Australian Government to assist its review of the national Action List as per the London Protocol. Available at https://www.deepcstore.com/news/deepcstore-co2-supply-specification-australia-national-action-list-london-protocol
Global CCS Institute (2021) Global Status of CCS 2021 – CCS Accelerated to Net Zero. Available at https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/2021-Global-Status-of-CCS-Report_Global_CCS_Institute.pdf
Global CCS Institute (2023) CCS Legal and Regulatory Indicator 2023. Available at https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/resources/publications-reports-research/ccs-legal-and-regulatory-indicator-2023/
International Energy Agency (2019) Putting CO2 to Use – Creating Value from Emissions. Available at https://www.iea.org/reports/putting-co2-to-use
International Energy Agency (2023) CCUS Policies and Business Models. Available at https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-policies-and-business-models-building-a-commercial-market
International Maritime Organization (2019) Resolution LP.5(14) on The Provisional Application of the 2009 Amendment to Article 6 of the London Protocol. Available at https://wwwcdn.imo.org/localresources/en/KnowledgeCentre/IndexofIMOResolutions/LCLPDocuments/LP.5(14).pdf [adopted 11 October 2019]
Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry (METI) (2022a) CCS Long-term CCS Roadmap Investigative Commission Interim Summary report. Available (in Japanese) at https://www.meti.go.jp/shingikai/energy_environment/ccs_choki_roadmap/20220527_report.html
Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry (METI) (2022b) “Japan’s CCUS policy” presentation at GCCI’s Japan CCS forum 2022. Available at https://jp.globalccsinstitute.com/japan-ccs-forum_en/
JOGMEC (2023) First Step to Launch Japanese CCS Project - JOGMEC selected 7 projects, starting CO2 storage by FY2030. Available at https://www.jogmec.go.jp/english/news/release/news_10_00036.html
With over 25 years of energy and resources industries experience and through senior roles for international business development, major capital project management, and commodity sales and trading at Tokyo Gas and Chevron, Daein Cha brings extensive expertise, experience and network to originate and develop multi-billion dollars industrial projects. Daein is currently the Director of Transborders Energy (mid-scale gas resource commercialisation company) and Managing Director of deepC Store (commercial scale CCS project developer). Daein received his Bachelor’s degree in management from the International Christian University (Japan), Master’s degree in business administration from the University of Virginia Darden School of Business, and qualification as Certified Cost Professional of AACE International. Daein is also a certified member of the Association of International Energy Negotiators and the Society of Decision Professionals. |