Response and adaptation of soybean systems to climate warming in Northeast China: insights gained from long-term field trials
H. F. Zheng A B , L. D. Chen B D and X. Z. Han A CA Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun, Jilin Province 130012, China.
B State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Centre for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China.
C National Field Research Station of Agroecosystem in Hailun; Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Harbin 150081, China.
D Corresponding author. Email: zhfdd@msn.com
Crop and Pasture Science 62(10) 876-882 https://doi.org/10.1071/CP11167
Submitted: 4 July 2011 Accepted: 29 September 2011 Published: 6 December 2011
Abstract
Developing and assessing successful strategies to alleviate adverse impact of climate warming presents a new opportunity for sustainable agriculture and adaptation investment. Efforts to anticipate adaptation of cropping systems may benefit from understanding the global warming effects within decades. This study quantitatively examines the temperature warming impacts during, respectively, growing season and seed filling on soybean yields by using data from long-term field fertilisation experiments from 1987 to 2004. Here we report that grain yields significantly decreased with rising temperature during growing season, whereas the effects of increasing temperature at seed-filling stage on crop yields were significantly positive. The results indicate that a further temperature increment during seed filling appears to decrease soybean system’s risk of yield reduction. Importantly, we inferred that earlier occurrence of seed filling would increase the temperature of this period. The implication is that advancing the onset of soybean seed filling could be an effective adaptation option to global warming, providing an average yield benefit of ~14% per 10 days before the present date.
Additional keywords: adaptations, global warming, seed filling, soybean yield.
References
Allen LH Jr, Boote KJ (2000) Crop ecosystem responses to climatic change: soybean. In ‘Climate change and global crop productivity’. (Eds KR Reddy, HF Hodges) pp. 133–160. (CABI: New York)Cooper RL (2003) A delayed flowering barrier to higher soybean yields. Field Crops Research 82, 27–35.
| A delayed flowering barrier to higher soybean yields.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Cutforth HW, McGinn SM, McPhee KE, Miller PR (2007) Adaptation of pulse crops to the changing climate of the northern Great Plains. Agronomy Journal 99, 1684–1699.
| Adaptation of pulse crops to the changing climate of the northern Great Plains.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
De Bruin JL, Pedersen P (2008) Soybean seed yield response to planting date and seeding rate in the Upper Midwest. Agronomy Journal 100, 696–703.
| Soybean seed yield response to planting date and seeding rate in the Upper Midwest.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Dornbos DL, Mullen RE (1991) Influence of stress during soybean seed fill on seed weight, germination, and seedling growth-rate. Canadian Journal of Plant Science 71, 373–383.
| Influence of stress during soybean seed fill on seed weight, germination, and seedling growth-rate.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Editorial Board – China Agriculture Press (2006) ‘China agriculture yearbook 2006.’ (China Agriculture Press: Beijing) [In Chinese]
Egli DB (2004) Seed-fill duration and yield of grain crops. Advances in Agronomy 83, 243–279.
| Seed-fill duration and yield of grain crops.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Egli DB (2008) Soybean yield trends from 1972 to 2003 in mid-western USA. Field Crops Research 106, 53–59.
| Soybean yield trends from 1972 to 2003 in mid-western USA.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Egli DB, Bruening WP (2004) Water stress, photosynthesis, seed sucrose levels and seed growth in soybean. The Journal of Agricultural Science 142, 1–8.
| Water stress, photosynthesis, seed sucrose levels and seed growth in soybean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Egli DB, Wardlaw IF (1980) Temperature response of seed growth characteristics of soybeans. Agronomy Journal 72, 560–564.
| Temperature response of seed growth characteristics of soybeans.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
FAOSTAT (2011) Statistics database. Available at: http://faostat.fao.org/default.aspx (verified 25 May 2011).
Fehr WR, Caviness CE (1977) ‘Stages of soybean development.’ Special Report 80. (Iowa State University: Ames, IA)
Ferris R, Wheeler TR, Hadley P, Ellis RH (1998) Recovery of photosynthesis after environmental stress in soybean grown under elevated CO2. Crop Science 38, 948–955.
| Recovery of photosynthesis after environmental stress in soybean grown under elevated CO2.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Gibson LR, Mullen RE (1996) Influence of day and night temperature on soybean seed yield. Crop Science 36, 98–104.
| Influence of day and night temperature on soybean seed yield.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Han XZ, Wang SY, Veneman PLM, Xing BS (2006) Change of organic carbon content and its fractions in black soil under long-term application of chemical fertilizers and recycled organic manure. Communications in Soil Science and Plant Analysis 37, 1127–1137.
| Change of organic carbon content and its fractions in black soil under long-term application of chemical fertilizers and recycled organic manure.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD28Xks1Oqtr0%3D&md5=ade1a7d1c8bc6bf09fd149993248e500CAS |
Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R, LO K, Lea DW, Medina-Elizade M (2006) Global temperature change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 103, 14 288–14 293.
Howden SM, Soussana JF, Tubiello NF, Chhetri N, Dunlop M, Meinke H (2007) Adapting agriculture to climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104, 19691–19696.
| Adapting agriculture to climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD1cXitFSltg%3D%3D&md5=ea808d7e7c1e596ac5ca15118ae6455cCAS |
Huxley PA, Summerfield RJ, Hughes AP (1976) Growth and development of soybean cv. TK5 as affected by tropical daylengths, day/night temperatures and nitrogen nutrition. Annals of Applied Biology 82, 117–133.
| Growth and development of soybean cv. TK5 as affected by tropical daylengths, day/night temperatures and nitrogen nutrition.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
IPCC (2007a) ‘IPCC WGI Fourth Assessment Report. Climatic change: the physical science basis.’ (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Geneva)
IPCC (2007b) ‘IPCC WGII Fourth Assessment Report. Climatic change: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability.’ (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Geneva)
Kucharik CJ, Serbin SP (2008) Impacts of recent climate change on Wisconsin corn and soybean yield trends. Environmental Research Letters 3, 034003
| Impacts of recent climate change on Wisconsin corn and soybean yield trends.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Lobell DB, Burke MB (2010) On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 150, 1443–1452.
| On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Lobell DB, Field CB (2007) Global scale climate – crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters 2, 014002
| Global scale climate – crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Lobell DB, Schlenker W, Costa-Roberts J (2011) Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science 333, 616–620.
| Climate trends and global crop production since 1980.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXpt1yisLs%3D&md5=0219326697fe5496b31685e5d4a19916CAS |
Mall RK, Lal M, Bhatia VS, Rathore LS, Singh R (2004) Mitigating climate change impact on soybean productivity in India: a simulation study. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 121, 113–125.
| Mitigating climate change impact on soybean productivity in India: a simulation study.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Nicholls N (1997) Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends. Nature 387, 484–485.
| Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DyaK2sXjsF2ht7c%3D&md5=12fe6344de708fc6cb0b65a9c469ad63CAS |
Olesen JE, Trnka M, Kersebaum KC, Skjelvag AO, Seguin B, Peltonen-Sainio P, Rossi F, Kozyra J, Micale F (2011) Impacts and adaptation of European crop production systems to climate change. European Journal of Agronomy 34, 96–112.
| Impacts and adaptation of European crop production systems to climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Pan DY (1996) Soybean responses to elevated temperature and doubled carbon dioxide. PhD Dissertation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. (Diss. Abstr. Int. 57, no. 10B: 5987)
Rasmussen PE, Goulding KWT, Brown JR, Grace PR, Janzen HH, Korschens M (1998) Agroecosystem – long-term agroecosystem experiments: assessing agricultural sustainability and global change. Science 282, 893–896.
| Agroecosystem – long-term agroecosystem experiments: assessing agricultural sustainability and global change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DyaK1cXntFKru7s%3D&md5=885af229c18c4c34da8cfb595c4f7b58CAS |
Ren GY, Xu MZ, Chu ZY, Guo J (2005) Changes of surface air temperature in China during 1951–2004. Climatic and Environmental Research 10, 717–727.
Schmidhuber J, Tubiello FN (2007) Global food security under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104, 19703–19708.
| Global food security under climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD1cXitFSltA%3D%3D&md5=37d6fc4aa7e5ce7d971e6b987b3a724fCAS |
Seddigh M, Jolliff GD (1984) Night temperature effects on morphology, phenology, yield and yield components of indeterminate field-grown soybean. Agronomy Journal 76, 824–828.
| Night temperature effects on morphology, phenology, yield and yield components of indeterminate field-grown soybean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Shen SM, Yin XY, Yu WT, Zhang L, Chen X, Liu HX, Wang DL, Wang KR, Zhou WJ, Xie XL (1998) Geographic differentiation of yield-increase efficiency caused by recycled nutrients in agro-ecosystems. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology 9, 379–385.
Sionit N, Strain BR, Flint EP (1987) Interaction of temperature and CO2 enrichment on soybean: photosynthesis and seed yield. Canadian Journal of Plant Science 67, 629–636.
| Interaction of temperature and CO2 enrichment on soybean: photosynthesis and seed yield.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Tao FL, Yokozawa M, Liu J, Zhang Z (2008) Climate-crop yield relationships at province scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trend. Climate Research 38, 83–94.
| Climate-crop yield relationships at province scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trend.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Tebaldi C, Lobell DB (2008) Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L08705
| Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Vose RS, Easterling DR, Gleason B (2005) Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004. Geophysical Research Letters 32, L23822
| Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |
Zheng SH, Nakamoto H, Yoshikawa K, Furuya T, Fukuyama M (2002) Influences of high night temperature on flowering and pod setting in soybean. Plant Production Science 5, 215–218.
| Influences of high night temperature on flowering and pod setting in soybean.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |