Resilience assessment of water supply and demand in the Yellow River Basin based on integrated optimisation weighting–improved grey-target model
Hong Lv A , Xinlei Zhao A , Dengming Yan
A B * , Wenxiu Shang A B and Xiaokang Zheng A B
A
B
Abstract
As a result of the combined impacts of global climate change and intensive human activities, the water-resources supply–demand imbalance has become prominent, particularly in the Yellow River Basin.
This study aims to accurately assess the changes in resilience of water-resource supply and demand over the past few decades.
This study examines the resources, economy, society, and ecology of both the supply and demand aspects in assessing the resilience of water supply and demand. The composite evaluation model based on integrated optimisation weighting and an improved grey-target model was constructed.
Using the Yellow River Basin as an example, from 2011 to 2020, the resilience index of the water-resource supply–demand system (RIWRSS) in the Yellow River Basin increased significantly by 69.4%. Among the 12 indicators in the Yellow River Basin, the contribution proportion of the inhibiting factors decreased by 3.7%, whereas the contribution of the driving factors increased by 70.9%.
The present study has provided insights into evaluating the RIWRSS and highlighted resilience disparities between the supply and demand sides in the Yellow River Basin.
This study expects to provide evidence for the improvement of water-supply conditions of water resources in the Yellow River Basin.
Keywords: drivers and inhibitors, improved grey-target model, integrated optimisation weight, multidimensional resilience indicators, resilience assessment, resilience evolution, water resources supply and demand, Yellow River Basin.
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