Changes in the abundance of New Zealand fur seals, Arctocephalus forsteri, on the Neptune Islands, South Australia

Abstract

The South Neptune Island group is a well-known site for the New Zealand fur seal, Arctocephalus forsteri. A survey of seals in South Australia and Western Australia in the 1989-90 summer indicated that colonies on the South Neptunes and the adjacent North Neptunes group contained half of the breeding population in Australia. The abundance of pups at the South Neptune group was determined in four breeding seasons: 1969-70, 1988-89, 1989-90 and 1992-93. The population on Main Island increased at an exponential rate of r = 0.053 (equivalent to 5.4% per annum) between the first two surveys: counts of pups increased from 487 to 1333, and the breeding area expanded to include several new colonies. Mark-recapture estimates of pup numbers in the two largest colonies in 1989-90 and 1992-93 did not differ statistically. Rates of increase in individual colonies over the 19 or 20 years from 1970 ranged from r = 0.031 (3.1%) to r = 0.256 (29.2%). On the South Neptune Islands, the estimate of pup abundance in the most recent survey (1992-93) was 1916, on the basis of mark-recapture in most colonies and of counting in a few small ones. On the North Neptune Islands, the estimate of pup abundance in 1992-93 was 2756, on the basis of mark-recapture in most colonies. By applying a multiplier of 4.9 to convert pup numbers to an estimate of abundance of the whole population, estimates of 9400 and 13500 fur seals were obtained for the South Neptune and North Neptune Islands in 1992-93, respectively. These estimates provide a firm foundation for comparisons in future years.