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Journal of the Australian Rangeland Society
RESEARCH ARTICLE (Open Access)

Soil carbon sequestration in rangelands: a critical review of the impacts of major management strategies

Beverley Henry A * , Diane Allen B , Warwick Badgery C , Steven Bray D , John Carter B , Ram C. Dalal E , Wayne Hall F , Matthew Tom Harrison G , Sarah E. McDonald H and Hayley McMillan D
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Qld 4000, Australia.

B Department of Environment, Science and Innovation, Dutton Park, Qld 4102, Australia.

C NSW Department of Primary Industries, Orange, NSW 2800, Australia.

D Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Dutton Park, Qld 4102, Australia.

E University of Queensland, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia.

F Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Brisbane, Qld 4000, Australia.

G Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture, University of Tasmania, Tas 7248, Australia.

H NSW Department of Primary Industries, Trangie, NSW 2823, Australia.

* Correspondence to: beverley.henry@qut.edu.au

The Rangeland Journal 46, RJ24005 https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ24005
Submitted: 6 March 2024  Accepted: 7 July 2024  Published: 13 August 2024

© 2024 The Author(s) (or their employer(s)). Published by CSIRO Publishing on behalf of the Australian Rangeland Society. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND)

Abstract

The agronomic benefits of soil organic matter have been studied for centuries, but contemporary focus has expanded to ask how increasing long-term storage of soil organic carbon (SOC) can contribute to mitigation of climate change. Understanding the potential for SOC sequestration in the vast rangelands is crucial for climate change policy, agricultural land management and carbon market opportunities. In this review, we evaluate the evidence from published field trials and modelling studies for sequestration in Australian rangeland soils managed for livestock grazing. We found few long-term studies with high quality SOC stock change data linked to new management, and our analysis was constrained by data limitations, conflicting results between studies, and highly variable climate, soil and landscape conditions across production systems. Rainfall and soil properties are dominant determinants of variation in SOC stocks in rangelands, and it was difficult to detect management impacts in these environments. However, there was consistent evidence that: (1) Sowing more productive grasses or legumes in existing grass pastures generally increases SOC stocks; (2) Prolonged high stocking is associated with net SOC loss; (3) Destocking or exclusion of grazing results in small SOC increases, especially in degraded soils; (4) Conversion from cropping to permanent pasture results in sequestration, influenced by management history; (5) Rotational grazing strategies show negligible impact on SOC stocks relative to continuous grazing; and (6) Waterponding increased SOC stocks initially but persistence has not been demonstrated. We discuss possible opportunities for SOC sequestration in rangelands in the context of uncertainties and associated benefits and trade-offs for livestock production, and make recommendations to improve the evidence-base for major management strategies.

Keywords: Australia, carbon credits, climate change mitigation, grazing management, greenhouse gas emissions, pasture improvement, rainfall variability, sequestration, soil carbon.

Introduction

The potential for increasing storage of organic carbon (C) in forest and agricultural soils to help achieve climate change mitigation goals has received growing attention since the Paris Agreement at the Conference of Parties (COP) 21 of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in 2015. At COP 21, introduction of the ‘4 per 1000 Initiative’, with an aspiration to increase soil organic carbon (SOC) storage in agricultural and forestry lands annually by 0.4%, provided added focus to the role of soil organic carbon sequestration (SCS) (Soussana et al. 2019), and more recently the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report stated that natural climate solutions, notably permanent sequestration of C in trees and soils, are critical to restricting global warming to 1.5°C (IPCC 2023; Matthews et al. 2023; Zickfeld et al. 2023). Despite enhanced research investment over almost a decade since 2015, the magnitude and value of climate change mitigation possible through implementing practices that foster SOC storage is still debated. Estimates of the proportion of anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that could be offset by SCS vary from over 20% (Minasny et al. 2017) to 4% or less (Schlesinger and Amundson 2019; Henderson et al. 2022; Janzen et al. 2022). Factors contributing to differences between estimates include: (i) Assumptions about the multiple biophysical, economic, and socio-cultural influences on net SOC storage in landscapes; (ii) evolving understanding of the complexities of SOC dynamics; and (iii) the technical challenges of reliably detecting and quantifying persistent change in SOC stocks (Lavallee et al. 2020; Begill et al. 2023; Cotrufo et al. 2023; Moinet et al. 2023). The extent of global rangelands raises expectations that they represent a large contribution to the global potential for SCS but, to date, agreement on achievable increases in SOC storage through management has proven elusive.

Published estimates of the proportion of global SCS expected in ‘rangelands’ are confounded by unclear definitions of land areas classified as rangelands as opposed to grasslands. Grasslands, usually defined as grass-dominated communities occurring both naturally and as cultured landscapes (Squires et al. 2018), have been attributed with around a quarter of the global SCS potential (Mahanta et al. 2020). In contrast, rangelands exclude highly modified pastures and grassy landscapes that encompass areas of relatively high productivity. Rangelands are commonly described as lands that are grazed, or have the potential to be grazed, by livestock and wildlife, with vegetation dominated by grasses, grass-like plants, forbs or shrubs, although they may also contain trees as in grazed woodlands and savannas (ILRI et al. 2021). This definition that covers approximately 50% of global terrestrial surface area, includes land estimated to hold as much as a third of the global stock of 1500 Gt SOC to a depth of 1 m (Schuman et al. 2002; ILRI et al. 2021). Even a small percentage change in this SOC stock would represent a large C sink but the realistic opportunity for achieving SCS through changes in management in livestock production systems is poorly understood (Khalil et al. 2019).

Many areas of rangeland have low or unreliable rainfall, infertile soils and low productivity, which limit organic material, primarily plant biomass, available to enter the soil organic matter (SOM) pool (Conant et al. 2001, 2017; Puche et al. 2019; Bartley et al. 2023; Dondini et al. 2023). Nevertheless, they have substantial ecological, social, economic and cultural value, and are the home and primary source of food for millions of people (Alexandratos and Bruinsma 2012; Ghosh and Mahanta 2014). Compared to more productive agricultural land types, there is limited understanding of how rangeland management practices affect the dynamics of soil C and nutrients and their relationship to ecological functioning, land condition and productivity (Sanderman et al. 2017; Khalil et al. 2019). Addressing these knowledge and data gaps requires improved capacity to monitor SOC stock changes over multi-decadal time periods to quantify SCS. Accurate and cost-effective measurement and modelling capacity is also crucial for reporting climate change mitigation against Paris Agreement targets, and for estimating C offsets with integrity across regions and properties that are often very large and diverse. However, standardised protocols have been developed relatively recently with promise for long-term monitoring to document permanent (century or longer timescales) CO2 removals. The most used method, based on repeat field sampling and laboratory analysis to estimate SOC stock changes makes quantifying SCS more costly than point-in-time measurements of C concentration in surface soil, which have traditionally informed agronomic decisions (Lal et al. 2018; Poulton et al. 2018; Henderson et al. 2022; Dondini et al. 2023; Moinet et al. 2023; Powlson and Galdos 2023). In the large areas of spatially diverse landscapes, heterogeneous soils and variable climates that characterise the world’s rangelands, the challenges of accurate and cost-effective measurement are exacerbated, further contributing to the difficulty in estimating the potential for SCS.

The objective of this review was to analyse SCS data from published studies in Australian rangelands that applied methods consistent with internationally accepted science and protocols for reporting GHG removals or SOC offsets (Paustian et al. 2019; Smith et al. 2020). The criteria applied to determine inclusion of data largely align with SOC offset accounting methods in the Australian Government voluntary soil C crediting scheme, known as the Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) Scheme and formerly as the Emissions Reduction Fund (Australian Government 2021). Management strategies considered were those compatible with productive rangeland grazing systems, and analysis of opportunities for SCS were restricted to management options that are economically feasible and practical in low input grazing systems. We examine the challenges of measurement of SOC stock changes and attribution to management rather than exogenous SOC drivers, and briefly discuss the influence of associated co-benefits, trade-offs and risks on adoption and maintenance of management changes in livestock production systems. Finally, we provide recommendations for investment in research and field trials to improve data and address knowledge gaps, with the aim of enabling more accurate assessment of the potential for SCS in rangelands using location-specific management strategies.

Methods

Scope of the review

We analysed data for Australian rangelands delineated according to the Australian Rangeland Society (ARS 2023) as areas used for grazing that have not been intensively developed for primary production, consistent with the global definition of ILRI et al. (2021). This definition allows that clearing of woody vegetation and naturalisation of exotic grasses and other forages has occurred in some regions. The scope of our review is broadly consistent with use in other Australian rangeland assessments (ACRIS 2008; Foran et al. 2019), and considers grazing management in savannas and grasslands but excludes highly modified pastures. Much of the area defined as rangeland (Fig. 1) is in semi-arid and arid zones, but it extends into eastern Australia to include regions with higher annual rainfall, such as tropical savannas, where other limitations restrict agricultural use to grazing in the natural landscape (ACRIS 2008; Bastin et al. 2009).

Fig. 1.

Land classified as rangeland spans over 75% of the total Australian land area (769 Mha), with areas subject to domesticated livestock grazing of native vegetation occupying 283 Mha. Data sources: ABARES (2021), ACRIS (2008).


RJ24005_F1.gif

Conduct of the review

The review is based on a literature search to identify and assess SOC data relevant to analysis of the impact of management practices on SCS in Australian rangelands where extensive grazing of ruminant livestock (beef cattle, sheep, goats) is the primary land use (Fig. 1).

Literature search

Both a traditional search of peer-reviewed articles and a systematic Web of Science search were used. The search terms used were TS = (rangeland* OR grassland* OR *arid) AND TS = (carbon) AND TS = (soil) AND TS = (Australia* OR Queensland OR “New South Wales” OR “Northern Territory” OR “Western Australia” OR Tasmania OR Victoria OR “South Australia” OR NSW OR QLD), which returned 626 articles. Published reports held by government and industry institutions were accessed through databases, online lists, or personal libraries of authors from these institutions. Australian results were placed in a global context using an overview of global measurement and novel quantification methods and conducting a review of relevant international publications on the SOC response to livestock and pasture management strategies in rangelands. Published reviews and original technical articles were used to provide an overview, but a comprehensive analysis of global research was out of scope for the present review.

Data extraction

Papers and reports were included in the review of Australian research if the study met data quality criteria (given below), and the reported results compared rangeland-relevant livestock production management strategies. Quantitative and qualitative data on soil C and its response to grazing and/or land management were extracted with accompanying information related to methodological requirements, including sampling depth, density and frequency, bulk density measurements, analysis method, period of monitoring, model calibration and verification, and any reported assumptions made in estimates of change in SOC stocks or SCS. Values of SCS were taken directly from publications, where reported, or calculated from published SOC stock data using either: (i) Initial or baseline measurement before implementation of a new management strategy; or (ii) Control and treatment measurements in paired-site or fenceline comparison studies. The latter assumes equal SOC in control and treatment sites prior to implementation, which inevitably introduces uncertainty. SCS (t C ha−1 year−1) attributable to the new management regime was estimated by dividing the difference in SOC stocks (t C ha−1) by years since implementation, recognising the constraints on these estimates due to the nonlinear pattern of change in stocks in response to management. Metadata, including study location, treatments, data collection methods and details such as duration of the study, protocols for soil carbon sampling, measurement, or modelling, were recorded.

Identification of relevant management studies

Studies were grouped according to management strategy, observation period, data ‘quality’ (using criteria such as sampling density and depth) to determine whether SOC measurements allowed estimates of sequestration. Three fundamental requirements were used as the primary determinants for inclusion of data from field studies in the SCS analysis: (i) credible measurement or verified data enabling SCS to be quantified; (ii) adequate description of a rangeland-relevant management change; and (iii) monitoring over a sufficient period to indicate a persistent change in SOC stocks, with ≥10 years preferred although a limited amount of flexibility was accepted. Management strategies were analysed under three categories that are accepted as having a mechanistic link to SOC stock change: grazing management; pasture improvement; and land conversion (Fig. 2, CER 2021). However, causality between a specific management intervention and SOC stock change is difficult to establish in field studies due to the number of interacting factors that potentially influence SOM inputs and loss (Pringle et al. 2016).

Fig. 2.

Management and nonmanagement factors potentially affecting soil organic carbon (SOC) inputs to, and loss from, grazed rangelands. Underlined management strategies are those for which published studies provided data on the potential for SOC sequestration in Australian grazing systems analysed in this review. GPP, gross primary productivity; OM, organic matter.


RJ24005_F2.gif

Preliminary examination of the initial dataset revealed that information provided in papers and reports was often insufficient to meet accepted minimum standards to quantify SCS for climate change mitigation accounting. This sometimes reflected the objectives of older trials or arose because data acquisition was realistically limited by scope and/or research budgets. Working within these constraints, the following criteria were used to determine data that could be included in the analysis of long-term SCS: (1) Soil sampling to a depth of ≥30 cm with unbiased spatial sampling strategy; (2) Analysis of SOC concentration using either dry combustion, other accredited laboratory analysis method, or in situ, proximal or remote sensing methods, such as VIS-NIR-MIR spectrometry, accompanied by adequate description to show proper calibration and validation; (3) Calculation of SOC stocks for measurement or calibration sites using measured soil bulk density to convert concentration to stocks (preferably on an equivalent soil mass basis, ESM); (4) SOC stock change using either at least two measurement rounds – baseline and remeasurement over a period sufficient to indicate persistence (at least a decade but noting longer is needed to demonstrate permanence), or space-for-time measurements of appropriately selected ‘control’ and ‘management change’ sites such as paired-site or fenceline comparisons; (5) A modelling approach with justification of process model functionality and capacity to simulate the management under analysis combined with demonstration of adequate calibration and validation data for the site and conditions; and (6) Description and implementation date for change in a management strategy relevant to rangeland livestock production.

Lack of clarity and consistency in the use of terms to describe grazing management strategies, particularly with reference to strategies based on the manipulation of the timing or duration of livestock access to pasture and periods of pasture rest in grazing rotations confounded analysis of the data. Due to the small number of studies and lack of clear delineation between more and less intensive stock densities and movements, we grouped all grazing rotation studies under the general term, ‘rotational grazing’, whether originally described here as rotational, cell or time-controlled. Hence, in our analysis, strategies were aligned according to the grazing practice descriptions given by Allen et al. (2013) but with (b) and (c) combined:

  1. Continuous stocking: Pastures are never or rarely spelled; with grazing over most of the year.

  2. Rotational grazing: Stock are moved between paddocks so that a period of grazing is followed by a period of resting (‘spelling’) a paddock. The spelling period usually depends on the condition and growth of pasture and predicted growing season rainfall.

  3. Cell or time-controlled grazing: These are forms of intensive rotational grazing that use many small paddocks that are heavily stocked for a short time, followed by a long spelling period.

  4. Destocking or Exclosures: These terms refer to, respectively, removal of livestock grazing (with grazing by native or feral animals still possible) or exclusion of livestock and other herbivores such as kangaroos. In some publications reviewed it was not clear whether non-domestic animals were contributing to the total grazing pressure.

Results and discussion

After screening for relevance and data quality, the results from 23 publications were assessed as providing reliable data on the impacts of management strategies on SCS in Australian rangelands (Table 1). Because the dataset was small, a further 15 publications were examined to expand and test information on the trend in SOC stocks for the same management strategies, despite not having data fully compliant with our listed criteria for quantification of SCS (Appendix Table A1).

Table 1.Summary information from reviewed publications with credible data on soil organic carbon sequestration (SCS) following implementation of a new or different management strategy in Australian rangelands.

Study referenceStudy regionAv. Ann. rainfall (mm)Management changeMonitoring period (years)Sampling depth (cm)Initial (I) or Control (C) SOC (t C ha−1)SCS (t C ha−1 year−1)
Grazing Management strategies
 Grazing intensity
  Bray et al. (2014)ACharters Towers region, QLD640Moderate vs high160–3019.2 (C)0.087
  Pringle et al. (2014)AJulia Creek region, QLD429Low vs mod/high260–3013.32 (C)0.004–0.035 (n.s.)
 Rotational vs continuous grazing
  Allen et al. (2013)AQLD rangelands256–1138Rotation/cell vs continuous~10D0–304.79–75.49 (C)0 (n.s.)C
  Schatz et al. (2020)ANorthern NT1209Intensive rotation vs continuous50–3014.08–19.69 (I)−0.03 (n.s.)
  Sanderman et al. (2015)AUpper, mid-north SA310–570Rotation vs continuous7+D0–3020–80 (C)−0.07
  Orgill et al. (2017)ABrewarrina, NSW292Rotation vs continuous8+D0–3013.54–13.97 (C)−0.11 to 0.01 (n.s.)
 Destocking or excluding grazing
  Allen et al. (2013)AQLD rangelands256–1138Exclosure vs grazed~10D0–304.79–75.49 (C)1.68
  Carter et al. (2006)Charleville region, QLD483Exclosure vs grazed240–3051.6 (C)0.28B
  Daryanto et al. (2013)AEnngonia region, NSW312Exclosure vs grazed200–3030.06 (C)0.27–0.38B
  Hunt (2014)FKidman Springs, NT667Destocked vs grazed580–3032.51 (C)0.05
  Pringle et al. (2014)AJulia Creek region, QLD429Destocked vs grazed260–3013.48 (C)0.006–0.041 (n.s.)
  Sanderman et al. (2015)AUpper, mid-north SA310–570No stock vs grazed7+D0–3020–80 (C)0.17–0.24 (n.s.)
  Witt et al (2011)ASouth-west QLD150–500Exclosure vs grazed13–430–3022.0 (C)≤0.05–0.13B
Pasture management strategies
 Sowing more productive grasses into grass pastures
  Chan et al. (2010)ECentral-southern NSW600–800Introduced vs native pastures≥100–3042.8 (C)0.02 (n.s.)
  Clewett (2015)FCondamine, QLD672Sown vs native pastures500–3031–52 (C)0.11
 Sowing legumes into grass pastures
  Conrad et al. (2017)Gayndah region, QLD691Leucaena-grass vs native pastures400–3043.7–51.7 (C)0.28
  Wochesländer et al. (2016)South-west WA498Tagasaste vs native grass220–3018.6 ± 0.6 (C)0.72
  Clewett (2015)FCondamine, QLD672Sown grass-legume vs native pastures500–3031–52 (C)0.38
 Waterponding in scald areas
  Read et al. (2012)Central-west catchment, NSW400Waterponding vs scalded20–250–3018.7 (I)0.28
 Managing fire regimes in grazed savannas
  Hunt (2014)FKidman Springs, NT667Early season burn (2,4 yearly) vs unmanaged fire regime580–3032.51 (C)−0.03
  Hunt (2014)FKidman Springs, NT667Late season burn (4,6 yearly) vs unmanaged fire regime580–3032.51 (C)−0.04
Land conversion strategies
 Conversion from cropland to permanent pastures
  Badgery et al. (2020)Condobolin, NSW424Perennial pasture vs cropping150–3023.2 (C)0.48
  Jones et al. (2016)South-west QLD583Cropping to grass pasture200–3027.9 (I)0.18
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Cultivation to pasture15–200–3046–121 (C)0.06–0.15
 Conversion from forest cover to grassland
  Dalal et al. (2005)Mulga View, SW QLD516Mulga woodland to sown pasture200–3027 (C)0.12
  Dalal et al. (2011)Brigalow Catchment Study, QLD720Brigalow forest to sown pasture230–4084 (C)0 (n.s.)
  Dalal et al. (2021)Brigalow Catchment Study, QLD720Brigalow forest to sown pasture330–3054.8 (C)−0.05 (n.s.)
  Harms et al. (2005)Central-Southern QLD rangelands600–800Forest/woodland to buffel grass/native pasture<11–310–3019.89–36.09 (C)−0.22 (n.s.- Eucalypt, Brigalow;B Mulga)
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Woodland to native pasture20–500–3046–121 (C)−1.76
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Native woodland to sown pasture20–300–3046–121 (C)−2.07
  Allen et al. (2016)Brigalow Belt, QLD (45 sites)NRBrigalow forest to pasture15–730–3027–116 (C)0.72
 Conversion from grassland to forest cover
  Allen et al. (2016)Brigalow Belt, QLDNRPasture to brigalow regrowth16–760–3016–76 (C)0 (n.s.)

The studies spanned each of the mainland states and territories with rangeland used for grazing livestock: New South Wales (NSW), Northern Territory (NT), Queensland (QLD), South Australia (SA), Western Australia (WA). Studies were included in the analysis if they reported estimates of SCS or data on SOC stocks and period of monitoring that enabled calculation of SCS consistent with international GHG accounting protocols and method requirements in carbon crediting schemes.

Av. Ann. Rainfall, average annual rainfall; NR, not reported.

A Where SCS was not reported, estimation assumes initial SOC stocks were equal in the ‘change’ treatment and ‘control’ and the difference in reported SOC stocks (t ha−1) after x years was converted to SCS (t ha−1 year−1) by dividing by x.
B Significant difference between treatments (B); otherwise not significant (n.s.) or not reported.
C No significant difference refers to data after detrending of climate; without detrending the SCS difference was 1.12–1.69 t C ha−1 year−1.
D Estimate of management years, derived from publication.
E Study includes sites outside the rangeland boundary (Fig. 1) but included as indicative in the absence of other data.
F SCS based on modelled changes.

The review revealed marked differences between studies in the quality of data and information provided on the specific management intervention, which hampered comparisons and efforts to link management strategies to SCS. In summary, analysis results have high uncertainty due to the small number of long-term studies, non-standard methods for quantifying SCS, and inconsistencies in the implementation of grazing management strategies. We discuss the published results for each management intervention and possible reasons for conflicting outcomes to explain the value and the limitations of the analysis. The identified gaps in data and knowledge informed guidance for improved soil sampling and measurement and recommendations for priority research to support evidence-based policy and land management.

Analysis of management impacts on SCS

Grazing management strategies

Grazing affects SOC in a range of ways that include: (1) herbivory removes plant biomass that could otherwise be incorporated in SOM; (2) altering the allocation to below ground (root) biomass; (3) changing plant growth rates and species composition; (4) trampling affects on soil compaction and the rate of litter breakdown; (5) modifying C and nutrient cycling, including through adding dung and urine; and (6) exposing soil to accelerated respiratory loss and increased risk of erosion (particularly at prolonged high stocking rates). The impacts on net SOC storage and stability, mediated primarily by microbial activity, are altered by livestock management decisions on stocking rates and the timing of grazing and rest periods. However, in Australian rangelands more than half the total grazing pressure may be largely unmanaged, depending on populations of feral animals, including goats, and native herbivores, such as kangaroos, although livestock management may indirectly alter feral and native herbivore numbers through fencing and access to watering points. In combination with drought and other climate factors the presence of non-domestic grazing can constrain the capacity of producers to predictably foster SCS through livestock management strategies (Waters et al. 2019).

Of the 32 publications identified that reported impacts of grazing management on SOC in Australian rangelands, 10 had data to ≥30 cm and measured the effects of management over a sufficient time period to indicate persistence, mostly for a decade or longer (Table 1). An additional seven publications were considered as having data indicative of extensive low-input grazing management impacts on SOC storage (0–30 cm) (Table A1) but were either outside the boundary adopted for rangelands (Fig. 1) or relied on unvalidated modelling (Clewett 2015). The variation in SOC stock change estimated for studies in this expanded dataset was higher than in the more reliably quantified SCS (Table 1) but broadly confirmed both the direction and uncertainty in the response for each management strategy analysed (last column, Table A1). For the 10 studies in Table 1, the results for SOC stock change, estimated from either an initial/baseline or a ‘control’ measurement, provide the following indicative SCS response to management.

Grazing intensity

Grazing intensity is commonly described as ‘light’, ‘moderate’ or ‘heavy’, terms sometimes translated to light, moderate or high stocking rate relative to a regional recommended stocking. The impact on SOC stocks of low to moderate grazing intensity was reported as non-significant or small (<0.1 t C ha−1 year−1) (Table 1; Bray et al. 2014; Pringle et al. 2014). This is supported by indicative trends in the expanded dataset (Table A1), and is consistent with results of a meta-analysis of stocking rate trials in Australia (McDonald et al. 2023) and research in other countries (e.g. Chen et al. 2015). In contrast with conservative stocking, high grazing pressure in rangelands has been associated with a decline in SOC reflecting net SOM loss resulting from lower inputs as a result of herbivory and higher rates of mineralisation and/or erosion due to higher disturbance and exposed soil surface (Fig. 2).

Specific stocking rate management practices, landscape characteristics and climate have been shown to affect the balance between SOM inputs and loss differently, and to lead to conflicting results (Waters et al. 2017). Temperature and vapour pressure deficit can account for >80% of differences in SOC stocks (Allen et al. 2013; Rabbi et al. 2015), and Allen et al. (2013) concluded that only after detrending of climate effects could the influence of stocking rate on SOC stocks be detected as a weak negative association in measured data from a north-eastern Australian survey. Baseline soil condition and SOC stocks, together with legacy management, may also contribute to variations (Muleke et al. 2023), and together these interacting influences confound the impact of stocking rate. Overall, the preliminary evidence indicates that high grazing intensity is likely to result in a small, negative SCS effect but low to moderate stocking rates appear to have no or negligible impact. Targeted studies are needed to improve attribution of changes in SCS under different grazing intensities to management versus climate and legacy effects.

Rotational grazing

Of the four studies assessing the response of SCS to implementation of grazing rotation strategies, none showed a significant impact of managing the timing of grazing and rest periods on SOC stocks (Table 1; Allen et al. 2013; Sanderman et al. 2015; Orgill et al. 2017 Schatz et al. 2020). A survey of 98 sites across a rainfall and temperature gradient in tropical and subtropical Queensland (28 continuously grazed; 60 rotationally grazed; 10 exclosures) by Allen et al. (2013) found that, after detrending of climate effects, the cell grazing form of grazing rotations was associated with a non-significant decline in SOC stocks compared to continuous grazing. Similarly, a field trial in tropical savannas (Northern Territory, Australia) that compared high-intensity rotational grazing with continuous grazing at either set or variable stocking rate, found no significant difference in SCS between any of the grazing systems (Schatz et al. 2020). However, the monitoring period was less than 6 years and there is uncertainty regarding longer-term changes. In all but one of the five additional studies with indicative data (Table A1), there was similarly no significant difference in continuous vs rotational grazing. This is consistent with findings of review publications for Australian and international rangelands (Hawkins et al. 2022; Henry 2023; McDonald et al. 2023).

Total grazing pressure – destocking or exclosures

Studies comparing SOC stocks in areas that were grazed or ungrazed by domestic livestock (Table 1) presented inconsistent results, but an overall trend for a small, positive rate of SCS for destocked and/or exclosure sites relative to areas grazed by livestock. Results ranged from −0.05 to 0.1 t C ha−1 year−1 (Carter et al. 2006; Witt et al. 2011; Daryanto et al. 2013; Hunt 2014; Pringle et al. 2014). Excluding livestock and reducing grazing pressure may provide an option for SCS while simultaneously improving land condition in non-productive or degraded parts of a grazing property, but is unlikely to be economically attractive in land managed for profitable production. Additionally, to manage the negative consequences of C farming displacing food production on agricultural land initially managed for livestock grazing, destocking is not eligible to earn C credits in schemes such as the Australian government scheme (Australian Government 2021, refer to Clauses 10(3) and 11(2)).

Total grazing pressure – livestock species

No studies were found that specifically examined the impact of the type of domestic ruminant animal on SOC stocks in rangelands, but it has been suggested that over long timeframes different species (cattle, sheep or goat) may result in plant diversity changes (e.g. Olff and Ritchie 1998; Tóth et al. 2018) relative to sites grazed by native herbivores (macropods) alone (Eldridge et al. 2017). Additionally, grazing patterns are known to differ between species, e.g. sheep, cattle, and kangaroos are able to travel 3, 6 and 8 km, respectively, from water (Fensham and Fairfax 2008; Pahl 2019). However, although it is conceivable that there could be an impact on SOC stocks over the long term, via either the quality of SOM and microbial diversity or patterns of grazing pressure, more research is needed to evaluate a possible species-linked management impact on SCS.

Summary of the potential for SCS with grazing management strategies

This review of published studies with reliable data for Australian rangelands indicates limited potential for SCS (<0.1 t C ha−1 year−1) for grazing exclusion or change from high to conservative grazing intensity. Uncertainty is high because no studies had dynamic baseline monitoring across decadal time periods, and almost all studies reviewed lacked an initial SOC stock measurement before implementation of the new management practice. The reliance on space-for-time measurement data to estimate SOC stock change and the dearth of information on the legacy of historic management also constrain confidence in projections of the timeframe and magnitude of SCS response to new management. Additionally, the location- and condition-specific potential for SCS cannot be determined due to insufficient data for different management systems across the biogeographical coverage of rangelands.

Pasture management strategies

Climate, soil, landscape and vegetation characteristics are the predominant determinants of Net Primary Production and, hence, SOM inputs from above- and below-ground plant biomass. Management of pastures interacts with these natural factors to affect SOC stocks and the proportion of SOC that is stabilised (Sanderman et al. 2010; Janzen et al. 2022). In extensive grazing enterprises high costs (financial, time and resources) for implementation of practices such as fertilisation or irrigation act as a barrier to adoption although they may be feasible on more intensive properties. In the rangelands, there is a limited suite of practical and economic management options. A decision to implement a management change for voluntary participation in C farming must also consider the cost of SOC measurement in large and diverse landscapes, and the greater risks to permanency of SCS in the variable and extreme climates that are common in rangelands (White 2022). As a result, field studies evaluating pasture management strategies have traditionally focused on the production and land condition benefits, with limited collection of long-term SOC stock change data. The available data were analysed for four pasture management strategies (described below and in Fig. 2): (1) sowing more productive grasses; (2) sowing legumes into grass pastures; (3) use of waterponding to rehabilitate scalds; and (4) changing fire regimes to improve forage quality (an option of most relevance in tropical savannas). Six publications were found with credible SCS data (Table 1).

Sowing more productive grasses

The practice of improving the productivity of livestock grazing by sowing more productive grasses into existing grass pastures is more relevant to temperate southern areas of Australia and only two publications, one measurement and one modelling, with SCS data relevant to rangelands were found. In the northern rangelands, investment in sowing is more likely to occur following clearing of woodlands and savannas (Dalal et al. 2005; Livesley et al. 2021) and these studies are reviewed with land conversion strategies.

Higher grass biomass is expected to increase SOM inputs and SCS, but low and variable soil moisture and poor nutrient levels make achieving persistent SOC gains in rangelands challenging. If sowing were accompanied by initial application of nutrients to promote growth, higher SOC accumulation may occur in the initial years, but longer-term results are more uncertain, even in no-rangeland pastures (Badgery et al. 2020). Measurements in central-west New South Wales showed that gains in SOC stocks after sowing improved grass species did not persist, and after a decade, SOC stocks (0–30 cm) were not significantly higher under introduced compared to native grasses (Chan et al. 2010). This study site was just outside the boundary but climatically comparable to rangeland regions where sowing grasses is a viable option. Longer-term monitoring is needed to confirm this impact for different rangeland conditions. A decline in SCS over time after sowing was also found in a modelling study for the Condamine region of southern Queensland. Confidence in these simulations is low because they were not verified by in-field measurements, but the study found SOC stocks under sown grass increased at 0.5 t C ha−1 year−1 compared to native pastures over the first 10 years but over 50 years averaged only 0.11 t C ha−1 year−1 (Clewett 2015). For this strategy, no field data for SCS monitored over a decade or longer were found for Australia’s northern or arid rangelands.

Sowing legume forages into grass pastures

In periods where growth is not constrained by soil moisture, low soil nitrogen (N) limits productivity of grass pastures in large parts of the Australian rangelands. Legume–grass pastures are attractive to livestock producers because they can extend forage availability in dry periods and provide higher feed quality through N fixation, thus reducing the risk of land degradation while also improving animal growth rates (Radrizzani et al. 2011; Wochesländer et al. 2016). Higher input and quality of SOM from N-fixing legumes is also beneficial for soil microbial activity and the production of microbial necromass C, which comprises 2–5% of total soil C, can enhance SCS in rangelands (Kumar et al. 2018; Kästner et al. 2021).

Measurements over 40 years following planting of the leguminous shrub Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit ssp. glabrata (Rose Zarate) into grasses in southern Queensland showed a consistent increase in SOC stocks (0–30 cm) equivalent to a SCS rate of 0.28 t C ha−1 year−1 (P < 0.05) (Conrad et al. 2017). In other studies where SOC was measured or modelled with various forage legumes and time periods, there was a consistent trend for increase in stocks, with estimated SCS rates of 0.14–0.72 t C ha−1 year−1 (0–30 cm) (Clewett 2015; Harrison et al. 2015; Wochesländer et al. 2016). Other publications with SOC stock measurements, although not consistent with sequestration requirements (Table A1), provide additional confidence, with SOC stock increases of 0.08–0.78 t C ha−1 year−1 to a depth of 15 cm measured in leucaena–grass pastures relative to adjacent grass-only pastures (Radrizzani et al. 2011). These authors reported a correlation between the rate of increase in SOC and the degree of soil N limitation prior to sowing, but more detailed studies are needed to understand the dependence on initial soil N status and the dynamics and stabilisation of C in rangeland soils. Other legumes planted in rangeland grass pastures for their productivity and environmental benefits include Stylosanthes spp. and Desmanthus spp. (Gardiner et al. 2013; Kumar et al. 2018). There has been less research on their impacts on SOC stocks (Clewett 2015) but, in regions where plantings are already extensive, such as for Stylosanthes spp. in parts of Queensland, ‘additionality’ may be difficult to establish for C credit eligibility (CER 2021).

Waterponding

In the semiarid rangelands of Australia, waterponding has been used to rehabilitate claypan or scalded areas that are eroded and sealed (Read et al. 2016). Because scalded land is characteristically degraded and depleted of SOC stocks, e.g. <20 t C ha−1 in the top 30 cm (Read et al. 2012), the possibility exists for waterponding to have an associated SCS benefit. In a study in the Central-West Catchment of New South Wales where there is extensive scalding, rates of SCS were found to be as high as 1.5 t C ha−1 year−1 over the first 5 years before stabilising (Read et al. 2012). Research is needed on the long-term SOC dynamics following waterponding and on the level of any GHG emissions (N2O, CH4) associated with the strategy and subsequent land management to understand the net climate change mitigation potential.

Fire management

Although several publications have examined the impacts of fire as a management strategy for rejuvenating pastures in tropical and subtropical rangelands of Australia, very few studies have monitored SOC stocks and associated GHG emissions to enable quantification of SCS. The intensity and frequency of wildfire in tropical savannas are naturally highly variable, reflecting fluctuations with climate and ignition events over interannual climate patterns such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation, and longer decadal monsoonal cycles (Hunt 2014). Analysing the potential for SCS due to management actions to reduce the intensity or frequency of burning is complex and attribution of changes in SOC stocks is difficult when multiple practices are implemented. Whereas changes in fire regimes have long-term impacts on SOM inputs from above- and below-ground biomass, there are also more immediate effects of fire on plant litter and plant growth. Additionally, a decision to manage fire may be accompanied by activities to improve pasture production by sowing of favoured grass or legume species and possibly irrigation and fertilisation (Livesley et al. 2021). The inherent variability together with the absence of initial SOC stock value or a dynamic baseline, likely contributed to the absence of a detectable management impact on SCS in measurement studies in the long-term Kidman Springs fire experiment in the Northern Territory, Australia (16°05′S, 130°57′E) (Allen et al. 2021), despite modelling showing a modest amount of additional storage in soil (Hunt 2014). Overall, the reviewed publications indicated the potential for a small increase in SOC stocks with reduction in the frequency and intensity of savanna burning. The increase was typically lower than the additional sequestration of C in woody biomass that also followed the change in burning regime. The additional tree biomass can result in a productivity trade-off as pasture growth suffers from increased competition from tree cover, and this acts as a barrier to adoption of fire management for SCS goals.

Summary of the potential for SCS with pasture management strategies

There is evidence that certain pasture improvement strategies, notably sowing more productive grasses or legumes in grass pastures, have SCS potential. However, the number of studies with reliable data was small and coverage across the extent of rangelands was restricted to less arid regions. More research is needed to quantify the impact and its persistence in different locations and soil conditions. There is also a need to better understand the economic, social and environmental impacts of each prospective practice, including costs of implementation and any trade-offs, such as drought tolerance and the risk of weediness of introduced pasture species. The literature search did not provide sufficient publications to adequately assess the SCS potential for strategies such as changing fire regime and implementing waterponding, but there is some indication of value in more research on these options for applicable rangeland regions. For all strategies reviewed, significant data and knowledge gaps exist, notably in relation to time course and upper limits on accumulation of stable soil carbon in different soil types, permanency of SOC stock changes, and magnitude of any GHG emissions associated with implementation of pasture improvement activities (Tomkins et al. 2019; CER 2021).

Land conversion strategies

We reviewed published studies with SOC stock data for three categories of land conversion that may occur in areas of rangeland livestock production: (1) Conversion from cropping to perennial pastures; (2) Conversion from forest or woodland cover to grassland; and (3) Conversion from grassland to forest cover. Historically, most land conversion activity in rangelands was due to livestock producers’ strategic management of the tree–grass balance, often involving removing woody vegetation to optimise forage production and grazing sustainability (Burrows et al. 2002; Hall et al. 2020). Land-use change studies, particularly those conducted more than three decades ago, rarely took baseline soil samples for C analysis, and most estimates of SOC stock change are based on space-for-time analyses (Guo and Gifford 2002; Dalal et al. 2005; Harms et al. 2005; Laganiere et al. 2010; Don et al. 2011; Bray et al. 2016). In a specific rangeland property or region, the potential for SCS will depend not only on biophysical factors but on a range of socio-economic aspects that affect the rate of adoption of prospective management strategies. Specifically, land conversion may be restricted by legislation governing vegetation management, permitted land use categories or access to water. Therefore, in addition to accurate biophysical data, understanding is needed of any policies affecting conversion, and constraints, including implementation barriers and opportunity costs, for a realistic assessment of the potential for SCS (Thamo and Pannell 2016; White 2022).

Conversion from cropping to perennial grassland

Three rangeland studies with credible SCS data were found for this category. They showed that, after periods of 15–20 years, perennial pasture soils stored more SOC than cropping soils, with an inferred rate of SCS (0–30 cm) attributed to conversion ranging from 0.06 to 0.48 t C ha−1 year−1 (Table 1, Wilson et al. 2011; Jones et al. 2016; Badgery et al. 2020). The range is comparable to other estimates for Australian rangelands (Table A1, Sanderman et al. 2010), but towards the lower bound of published results for grasslands globally (Poeplau et al. 2011; Conant et al. 2017; Sanderman et al. 2017). This is not unexpected since the global analyses include studies in higher rainfall, more productive conditions than those that characterise Australian rangelands (Liu et al. 2017).

A study in the semi-arid, sub-tropical rangelands of south-west Queensland that measured an increase in SOC stocks after conversion of land from cropping to perennial pasture of 0.09 t C ha−1 year−1 (0–30 cm) over 20 years (Jones et al. 2016) provides insights into constraints on SCS and recovery of SOC and soil function in these environments. After 20 years of cropping following clearing of virgin forest, SOC stocks in the top 30 cm had declined by 9.97 t C ha−1 (P < 0.01) from an initial level averaging 33.7 t C ha−1. After conversion to pasture, recovery of SOC stocks varied, with greater residual loss after 20 years in sites that had more years of cropping. Measurements also showed that the decline in soil N that occurred under cropping was only partially restored after 20 years of perennial pasture and the authors linked lower soil fertility as indicated by aggregation and mineralisable N to more years under cropping. The study demonstrates that long-term cropping limits the system’s resilience, capacity to recover soil fertility, and to sequester SOC. This legacy effect suggests that conversion to perennial pasture after long-term cropping may not be sufficient to restore soil health and productivity. SCS cannot be assumed to occur at a rate necessary for recovery of the amount of SOC lost under previous degrading management practices, at least over time periods of a couple of decades without addressing problems such as the fertility deficit, represented by N.

Conversion from forest cover to pasture

Six published studies with SOC data following conversion from native forest or woodlands to native pasture or sown grasses provided conflicting results for SCS, ranging from −2.42 to 0.12 t C ha−1 year−1, with most changes being not significant (Table 1, Table A1). Global publications for this land conversion category have also been inconsistent, reporting an increase or decrease or no change in SOC stocks (Post and Kwon 2000; Guo and Gifford 2002). The studies for Australian rangelands cover a range of climate, soil properties, land types and monitoring periods, and significant differences in management following removal of trees, all of which can contribute to conflicting results. The largest measured losses of SOC were for sites across soil type and land use gradients in the variable rainfall rangelands of north-west NSW (Table 1, Wilson et al. 2011). The extended set of indicative rangeland data (Table A1) confirmed the lack of consistency and confounding effects of postclearing management. For example, Livesley et al. (2021) reported SCS (0–30 cm) over a 28-year period of 0.34 t C ha−1 year−1 in the Northern Territory, reflecting fertilisation and planting of improved pastures followed clearing of woody vegetation. The range in outcomes demonstrate the need for additional information and the risks of extrapolation of results across sites or regions. Reliable predictions of SCS need regional vegetation, soil and climate data, including rainfall patterns as well as averages, and details of post-conversion management.

Conversion from pasture to forest cover

Management to establish trees on previously cleared land through either planting or assisted regeneration, such as not re-clearing woody regrowth, is widely recognised as a method of sequestering C in above- and below-ground biomass, but there are very limited data on associated changes in SOC. Based on a single study on retention of brigalow regrowth on degraded pastures in Queensland rangelands, no significant SCS follows regeneration of forest cover in rangeland situations (Allen et al. 2016). Results of additional studies (Table A1) that modelled (Paul et al. 2022) or measured (Guo et al. 2008) tree plantation establishment on grassland were inconsistent, ranging from small increases in SOC stocks to a substantial loss. In summary, there were too few published data from rangeland sites to estimate SCS for land conversion from permanent pasture to forest cover, and investment in research is needed due to a growing interest in the prospects for SOC credits from establishing trees on areas of grazing land to add to opportunities for biomass C credits, ecosystem services payments and other possible environmental benefits.

Sources of inconsistent results between studies

Our review highlights a marked inconsistency between studies in the reported impacts on SCS of different management strategies in rangelands (Fig. 3). Understanding the reasons for conflicting outcomes is fundamental to interpreting the results and informing future research and action (Dynarski et al. 2020).

Fig. 3.

Estimated SCS (t C ha−1 year−1) for each of the rangeland management strategies described in Table 1, illustrating the variation between studies (blue dots) and the median value (yellow diamonds). Where a range was reported, the average has been plotted. Differences between studies reflect both known factors based on the published information (e.g. + or – nutrient additions for sown pasture species), and unknown causes, which may include site characteristics, legacy management effects, and measurement quality (accuracy and representativeness).


RJ24005_F3.gif

The diversity in climate, soil and landscape characteristics as well as in land use history and livestock production systems across Australia’s rangelands, mean that differences between locations in SOC storage will remain a challenge for predicting the potential for SCS (Bastin et al. 2009; Rabbi et al. 2015). However, unless attention is given to identifying and addressing reasons for different outcomes, including differences in protocols for quantifying SCS and variations in the implementation of management strategies in trials evaluating impacts on SOC, the capacity to develop evidence-based policy and make informed land management decisions related to SCS for climate change mitigation will be limited (Conant and Paustian 2004). Major sources of inconsistency are summarised in Table 2 and the discussion that follows seeks to explain the approach taken in evaluating evidence for SCS in this review, provide context for interpreting the results for global rangelands, and support a set of recommendations for improvements in future estimates of the potential for SCS.

Table 2.Summary of issues in the quantification of soil organic carbon sequestration in field studies in rangelands.

Issue for SCS dataElements for SCS data qualityRequirement for robust data and improved consistency across studies
Definition of sequestrationLong-term increase in mass of stable SOCFor climate change mitigation and C credits, assess change in SOC stocks to ≥30 cm depth over multidecadal time periods
Sampling SOCSOC stock changeSample to ≥30 cm; Remove gravel, SOM > 2 mm, inorganic C; Measure bulk density; Estimate SOC stock change on ESM basis
Sampling designUnbiased sampling (e.g. stratified random); sampling density that accounts for heterogeneity, Assess MDD across sampling depth and area of interest
Sampling frequencyPeriod between measurement (usually ≥5 years) depending on rate of change, precision of analysis method, MDD
Analysis of SOC stock changeLab measurement: Dry combustionLaboratory dry combustion for baseline and change period analysis in an accredited (preferably same) laboratory
Spectrometric measurementCalibration data from appropriate sampling and laboratory dry combustion; Sampling density based on variance of estimates
Remote sensingCalibration data from appropriate sampling and laboratory dry combustion at scale; In-field verification; Not a reliable predictor of SOC at depth
Flux measurementsCalibration using in-field data; Experienced expert data analysis; Monitoring over multiyear period over climate variability cycles
Model predictionsCalibration and validation using independent in-field data; Verification using in-field data to ‘true-up’ model over multidecadal times; Model functionality for SOC dynamics

Abbreviations: SOC, soil organic carbon; SCS, soil carbon sequestration; SOM, soil organic matter; MDD, minimum detectable difference; ESM, equivalent soil mass.

Defining soil organic carbon sequestration

Over recent decades, ‘soil carbon sequestration’ has entered common usage in technical, policy and public interest literature, but the intent and interpretation of the term has not been consistent. Sequestration of organic carbon in soil is the process by which carbon is removed from the atmosphere as CO2 via photosynthesis and retained long-term in SOM (Baveye et al. 2023). In contrast, SOC storage does not have the same emphasis on stabilisation and persistence of additional SOC, a concept encompassed in the additionality requirement and permanence obligations of C crediting schemes (CER 2021). Stabilisation occurs over time when organic C that enters soil as organic matter, mainly plant residues, manure, root exudates and soil fauna and microbial necromass (Dynarski et al. 2020), becomes more physically or chemically protected from microbial breakdown and forms stable organo-mineral complexes able to persist for centuries or millennia (Moinet et al. 2023). For climate change mitigation and C offsets, sequestration is internationally accepted as meaning storage in the order of 100 years, although shorter periods (with discounted credit issuance) are permitted in some schemes and accounting methods, e.g. 25 years in the Australian government’s C crediting scheme (CER 2021). A high proportion of SOM, perhaps 90% or more, breaks down within a decade (Cotrufo and Lavallee 2022) releasing CO2 back to the atmosphere through the process of respiration mediated primarily by soil microbes. Importantly, although not all SOM counts as mitigating climate change, increasing SOM, labile or persistent, is fundamental to maintaining or improving soil condition and fertility (Lal et al. 2018; Cotrufo et al. 2019). The release of nutrients through rapidly cycling SOM is critical for plant growth, and especially in low productivity rangeland soils where application of chemical fertilisers is uncommon.

Monitoring SCS –additionality and baselines

SCS is quantified as a long-term increase in the stock of organic carbon (t C ha−1 year−1) in soil. Carbon farming schemes issue a C credit for each 1 t CO2e sequestered after adjusting for any GHG emissions resulting from implementation of a new SOC-positive practice and according to any scheme-specific rules. The new practice must go beyond business-as-usual management to meet the ‘additionality’ requirement, which aims to ensure that only genuine climate change abatement is credited. Schemes may stipulate a list of practices that are eligible to earn SOC credits, which should be based on evidence of a positive link between the activity and SOC accumulation. However, establishing this evidence, and particularly causality, is very difficult due to the large number of interacting influences on SOC stocks.

In rangelands the dominant drivers of SOC change are generally climate and soil variables, and the smaller response to management can be difficult to detect and measure accurately (Allen et al. 2013; Rabbi et al. 2015; Baveye et al. 2023). Field studies established before climate change became a focus of the land management research commonly did not make an initial measurement of SOC stocks and did not establish a procedure to monitor a counterfactual (without practice change) baseline as part of the trial. In field trials, a dynamic baseline, ideally monitored over several decades, is now recognised as ‘best practice’ to quantify SCS attributable to a new agricultural management practice (Guan et al. 2023). A small number of surveys designed to compare practices in rangelands have sought to isolate the management influence by detrending SOC data for rainfall and other natural drivers of SCS (Allen et al. 2013).

Several recent reviews (Maillard et al. 2017; Paustian et al. 2019; Smith et al. 2020; Guan et al. 2023; Stanley et al. 2023) have discussed in detail SCS quantification methods and their limitations. The challenges of measuring small and variable changes in SOC stocks, which typically can be reliably measured only over periods of five or more years, are exacerbated by the vast and diverse nature of rangeland grazing systems (Sanderman et al. 2010; Lal 2019). Despite some promising research there are, as yet, no widely accepted measurement methods or verifiable modelling tools that are cost-effective, practical and accurate for routine use in these landscapes. The procedure considered most accurate is direct measurement using traditional in-field sampling and laboratory analysis of SOC content by the dry combustion technique, and this can be prohibitively expensive at the scale of rangeland monitoring. Methods currently used for estimating SCS in field studies each have significant uncertainty, and there is often limited capacity to analyse the confidence level in reported rates of SCS.

Monitoring SCS – in-field sampling

In-field soil sampling is usually the greatest cost in generating data for SCS measurement or for model calibration and verification, with average sampling costs typically one order of magnitude greater than laboratory analysis charges (de Gruijter et al. 2016). This cost can act as a barrier to establishing an effective sampling design that properly considers spatial and temporal diversity, depth, density and timing within a research budget for reliable estimation of SOC stock change.

Sampling depth

Internationally established protocols for reporting SCS require sampling to at least 30 cm and to sufficient depth to enable SOC stock change to be expressed on an ESM basis. Where deeper sampling is possible, this may give more complete understanding of SCS, with recent research finding that approximately 20% of the impact of a management change on SOC stocks occurred below 30 cm (Skadell et al. 2023). For consistent comparisons in this review, data for 0–30 cm were selected wherever possible (Table 1), noting that, in rangeland sites, there may be physical constraints on sampling, such as rocky or steep terrain.

Spatial density

Although some C farming methods (e.g. Australian Government 2021) allow for a set number of samples across different managed land types, it is preferable that the density is adjusted based on spatial variation, and rate of change relative to the minimum detectable difference of the measurement method (FAO 2019; Stanley et al. 2023). Higher sampling error can occur in rangeland soils due to spatial heterogeneity resulting from features such as diverse topography, uneven rockiness, non-uniform soil horizons, patchy fertility and vegetation, and effects of uneven grazing and manure deposition, many of which are difficult to predict. Based on an analysis using linear mixed modelling for a long-term cattle stocking rate trial in north-east Australia (Wambiana Station, 20°34′S, 146°07′E), Pringle et al. (2011) recommended steps to calculate the density of sampling needed for measurement of mean SOC stocks (0–30 cm) to within 20% of the true mean in the tropical rangelands. Firstly, the property or project area is divided into units of apparently uniform soil type and grazing management (strata), before using stratified simple random sampling to distribute ≥25 sampling points in each unit, ensuring at least two samples in each stratum.

Sampling frequency

Minimum detectable difference provides a basis for the appropriate frequency of re-measurement, which is generally ≥5 years in rangelands (Chen et al. 2004). Samples should be taken as close as possible to the same time of year in repeat measurements. In a rangeland sampling strategy, monitoring should be continued for at least 20 years (Allen et al. 2010; Stanley et al. 2023), due to the impacts of interannual to decadal scale climate variations that affect rainfall and plant growth (Stafford Smith et al. 2007), or for the period required in scheme rules for a C farming project.

Monitoring SCS – SOC analysis

Laboratory analysis using dry combustion is widely accepted as the most accurate and precise method for quantifying SOC but, even in this method, there are small errors and interlaboratory differences that contribute to the total uncertainty in SCS data (Paustian et al. 2019). Although typically less than sampling costs, for an extensive rangeland project with adequate sampling density, dry combustion analysis costs ($10–20 AUD/sample, Singh et al. 2013) can be excessive in typical research budgets. Focused investment over more than one decade has sought to develop alternative approaches with adequate accuracy but taking candidates such as bench-top laboratory-based, in-situ field-based, and proximal and remote-sensing techniques through to routine SCS data acquisition with sufficiently low error and high confidence has proved difficult (Nayak et al. 2019; Orton et al. 2023). Although showing some success for rapid and feasible mapping of soil C at a site to regional scale (Nayak et al. 2019), the error in these novel methods remains greater than for the dry combustion method (Morgan and Ackerson 2022). Techniques such as eddy covariance have promise for extended monitoring over >10 years when combined with SOC stock measurements, and several options claim to provide value in calibrating modelling approaches, which may then be used to derive SCS (Smith et al. 2020).

Monitoring SCS – calculating SOC stock change

The rate of change in SOC stocks relative to the baseline or initial level is not linear but varies with initial soil status and tends to decline over time since implementation of a new management practice. For example, an initial rapid increase in SOC in degraded land following improved management is commonly not sustained (Sanderman et al. 2017; Muleke et al. 2023), and these patterns of change in SCS likely contribute to apparent inconsistencies in SCS between studies (Table 1, Fig. 3). The inconsistences are more difficult to interpret because most data for SCS in Australian rangelands have been estimated from space-for-time studies, and even with close matching of paired sites, there can be error due to fine scale site variations in vegetation, soil clay content, slope and other characteristics shown to influence SOC stock change. The lack of information on management history and absence of a dynamic baseline contribute significantly to uncertainty and conflicting results (Pringle et al. 2011; Allen et al. 2016; Orgill et al. 2017; Muleke et al. 2023; Viscarra Rossel et al. 2023).

Monitoring SCS – modelling approaches

Process-based models offer potential to predict SCS due to adoption of new management (Stockmann et al. 2013; Hunt 2014; Smith et al. 2020; Albanito et al. 2022). However, their reliability for predicting SOC stock change is currently limited by availability of data for calibration and verification and by insufficient model functionality to fully represent SOM dynamics (Paustian et al. 2019; Smith et al. 2020). Data constraints are of particular significance in arid and tropical regions. A recent review found that 71% of models used for SOC simulations were not validated and, of the remainder, validation was limited in its coverage (Garsia et al. 2023). Factors affecting SOC dynamics and management strategies in rangelands have been demonstrated to be poorly represented in commonly used crop and pasture models (Badgery et al. 2020), and although development of functionality along with expansion of parameterisation data is occurring, it is likely that modelling approaches will initially have a greater role in larger scale estimates of SCS than at project scale (Smith et al. 2020).

Accounting for GHG emissions

Estimation of the climate change benefits of SCS-positive management strategies must account for any associated GHG emissions. Whether this adjustment is applied, and how accurately, affects the comparability of results from studies that report SCS, but is not always clearly reported. Sources of emissions in rangeland livestock systems may include N2O from synthetic fertiliser application or legumes and emissions associated with savanna burning, but the largest contribution is likely to be enteric CH4 if ruminant livestock numbers are increased to take advantage of higher carrying capacity, e.g. with pasture improvement strategies (Harrison et al. 2016; Tomkins et al. 2019; Rumpel et al. 2023). Schemes that credit SCS provide rules for estimating these emissions (e.g. Australian Government 2021).

Potential for SCS in global rangelands

Published studies for Australian rangelands provide evidence that, within the constraints of climate and soil drivers, certain management strategies may increase SOC storage in livestock production systems. The climate change mitigation benefit is likely constrained across much of the area, but it is nonetheless important to understand the potential for SCS for policy and land management decisions. From this review, the paucity in long-term data and variable or conflicting results provide insufficient evidence to predict statistically significant responses to management changes over multidecadal periods or to infer the potential for SCS across the extent of diverse Australian or global rangelands. Multiple location-specific factors can interact to influence the dynamics of SOC (Luo et al. 2017). The legacy effect of historic management together with fine scale variations in soil properties, rainfall and other climate factors determine the SOC response to implementation of a new management strategy. As for Australia, global data from longer term monitoring with robust baseline measurements and estimates from surveys detrended for dominant climate and soil influences are needed to quantify the SCS potential (Allen et al. 2013; Rabbi et al. 2015; Paustian et al. 2019).

Management strategies with consistent outcomes for increasing SOC storage include: (i) Sowing more productive grasses or legumes in existing grass pastures increases SOC stocks; (ii) Conversion of cropping land to permanent pasture results in SCS, influenced by management history and baseline soil condition; and (iii) prolonged high stocking rates are associated with net SOC loss relative to conservative stocking. Where credible Australian measurements are available for rotational grazing strategies, they support global data (e.g. Hawkins et al. 2022) indicating negligible impact on SOC stocks relative to continuous grazing. For rotational grazing and other strategies lacking adequate long-term monitoring, including waterponding or fire regime management, further research is recommended in field trials with controlled and treatment sites having robust baseline measurements and historical management data. Similar limitations in data and consistency of results have been identified in other Australian analyses (Sanderman et al. 2010; McDonald et al. 2023) and global publications (Derner and Schuman 2007; Dondini et al. 2023), with broadly consistent SCS trends reported for extensive livestock production systems (Conant et al. 2017; Sanderman et al. 2017; Bossio et al. 2020; McKenna et al. 2022; Moinet et al. 2023). Uncertainty remains regarding: (i) the maximum SOC storage capacity of different soils, and dynamics of change towards this projected saturation level; (ii) the permanency of sequestered SOC; and (iii) levels of associated GHG emissions, and these factors affect confidence in the potential for climate change mitigation and the integrity of SOC offsets that may be earned in rangeland C farming projects. They highlight the need for caution in extrapolating results between sites to estimate the potential for SCS (Janzen et al. 2022).

Co-benefits, trade-offs and risks for potential rangeland SCS

Although available evidence from rangelands indicates that the prospects for permanent SCS per hectare is constrained by soil and climate factors, the fundamental benefits of SOM for soil condition and fertility, and for strong plant growth are well accepted (Kopittke et al. 2022). Descriptions of co-benefits for practices that are promoted to foster enhanced levels of SOM (and SOC) include improved ecosystem services (Bossio et al. 2020) and agricultural production (Paustian et al. 2016), mediated by better soil quality and soil function (Rumpel and Chabbi 2021). Co-benefits that may make uptake of management strategies attractive to rangeland livestock producers despite the uncertainty of SCS and C farming prospects include enhanced soil quality, sustainable production, and more climate resilient ecosystems and grazing businesses (Henry et al. 2018; Baveye et al. 2020; Hoffland et al. 2020; Page et al. 2020). Targeting degraded sites depleted of SOC due to historic mismanagement can increase these co-benefits as well as enhancing the prospects for SCS.

Before adopting a management strategy for SCS, consideration should also be given to possible biophysical and socio-economic trade-offs (Rumpel et al. 2023). Practices that foster long-term storage of stabilised SOC provide climate change abatement, but stoichiometric constraints result in immobilisation of N and other nutrients associated with the soil fertility benefits (van Groenigen et al. 2017; Soussana et al. 2019; Schlesinger 2022). In the decomposition of more labile SOM, these nutrients are released while returning CO2 to the atmosphere (Kirkby et al. 2011; Kirkby et al. 2013). The extent of the possible trade-off between SCS and productivity remains unresolved, with ongoing research on the optimisation of agricultural land management for multiple objectives (Janzen 2006; Peck et al. 2011; Ma et al. 2023; Rumpel et al. 2023). Rangeland soils, such as those in Australia, are typically low in nutrients, notably N, (e.g. Conrad et al. 2017), and targeted research is needed in these landscapes to understand potential trade-offs and pathways for stabilisation of SOC across soil types.

In addition to biophysical impacts, social and economic co-benefits and trade-offs are possible due to changes in management practices in livestock production systems (Baumber et al. 2020). Implementing a new management strategy may involve substantial time and resource allocation, and loss of flexibility occurs if the producer enters into a C credit contract with a permanency obligation that may be for 25 or 100 years (Australian Government 2021). Socio-economic concerns are known to affect uptake of SCS-positive strategies and participation in C crediting schemes (Macintosh et al. 2019; Barbato and Strong 2023; Henry et al. 2023). As C markets have continued to evolve alongside expectations of corporate climate disclosure and ecosystem services markets (Kreibich and Hermwille 2021; Cotton and Witt 2024), there has also been increasing focus on integrated approaches that consider the multiple interests, benefits and trade-offs of climate change mitigation actions. Of relevance to SCS in rangelands, are policies and frameworks that offer financial incentives additional to C offset market opportunities for positive environmental and social outcomes delivered by C farming projects (Sonter et al. 2020). Premiums are generally based on accounting standards such as those developed by some Australian state governments (Department of Agriculture and Food WA 2022; Queensland Government 2023) and in similar accounting and payment schemes internationally. As for SCS, the associated benefits and trade-offs are context-specific, variable and difficult to quantify and verify. The possibility of a change in management providing multiple economic benefits for a livestock production enterprise through ecosystem services credits and price premiums for products labelled as ‘environmentally sustainable’ may foster adoption but could challenge eligibility for C credits. Most C farming schemes (e.g. Australian Government 2021) seek to ensure the integrity of C offsets by requiring credits to be issued only for sequestration that is ‘additional’ to business-as-usual and would not occur in the absence of the incentive provided by the C farming scheme. Additionality standards generally allow for productivity or income from co-benefits associated with a new management strategy, but the extent to which these become common practice for economic advantage in farm business may lead to future changes.

Understanding of co-benefits and trade-offs associated with management for enhanced SCS is evolving (Harrison et al. 2021; Rumpel et al. 2023; Viscarra Rossel et al. 2023), in association with protocols to account for SCS within frameworks that also credit multiple ecosystem services (Bossio et al. 2020; Sonter et al. 2020). Of critical importance is ensuring the integrity of C credits and managing the level of financial or legal risk for scheme participants. An overarching risk to the potential for SCS is the impact of climate change. Rising temperatures and increasingly unreliable and extreme rainfall have been identified as threats to both ongoing accumulation and maintenance of existing SOC stocks (Roxburgh et al. 2020), and especially in rangelands, which are predicted to experience amongst the most severe climate changes (ILRI et al. 2021; IPCC 2023).

Conclusions and recommendations

Using Australian rangelands as a case study, this review sought to evaluate the evidence for implementation of changes in management strategies in extensive livestock production systems to result in SCS in rangelands. Understanding the potential for SCS in these vast landscapes is crucial for effective climate change, agricultural and natural resource policies, and for land managers’ decisions relating to livestock production systems. However, the paucity of data from long-term field studies or verified model simulations combined with the diversity of rangelands and complexity of SOC dynamics constrained conclusions from this analysis. Overarching observations were that: (i) very few publications provide data consistent with internationally accepted protocols for quantifying SCS; and (ii) available results were often conflicting, due in part to the range of interacting factors that influence SOC levels and persistence.

Despite climate, soil, and landscape factors being the dominant determinants of SOC stocks in rangelands (Allen et al. 2013), there was evidence from published Australian data for location-specific management effects. Strategies that were more consistently positive for SCS include sowing more productive grasses or legumes within existing grass pastures and maintaining conservative stocking rates to avoid net SOC loss under prolonged high intensity grazing. Excluding livestock or all grazing may increase SOC stocks while improving land condition, but the effect appears small and is detected most often in degraded areas. In the studies reviewed there was no significant difference in SCS between rotational grazing (managing timing of grazing and rest periods) and continuous grazing strategies. Less well-studied strategies, such as waterponding, for which there is some evidence of significant benefits for SCS in the initial years from implementation, warrant further research to determine longer term impacts.

As in our review, other Australian (McDonald et al. 2023) and international (Khalil et al. 2019; Hawkins et al. 2022) analyses have reported high uncertainty, demonstrating that current scientific evidence is insufficient to provide confidence in the SCS potential in rangelands or to ensure the integrity of SOC offsets for credible net-zero claims and effective C markets. There is high uncertainty in the permanency of sequestration in rangelands, and this is exacerbated by the risk to both accumulation and maintenance of SOC stocks due to projected anthropogenic climate change impacts (Roxburgh et al. 2020).

To help address areas of uncertainty in the potential for SCS in rangelands, investment in addressing data and knowledge gaps is needed with targeted research on the threats to the integrity of SCS for climate change mitigation. Priority should be given to continuing, and expanding, long-term trials with regionally relevant management practices. Survey techniques and resampling of past measurement sites can also supplement existing data in the short term. To meet the needs of multiple stakeholders and increase the transparency of SCS actions and accounting, partnerships should be fostered to improve data-sharing arrangements and educational material providing access to factual information for rangeland systems and realistic assessments of challenges and opportunities for SCS in livestock production systems. The sources of inconsistency in published studies discussed in this review provide guidance on ensuring more reliable and accurate data on SOC stock changes and the potential for SCS with different management strategies.

Three specific recommendations to increase the value of field studies and improve the capacity to predict and quantify SCS, will support rangeland management decisions and policy development into the future:

  1. Invest in improved understanding of the spatial and temporal variability in rangelands as a basis for designing sampling protocols and multidecadal monitoring programs that can provide high-quality data on SOC stocks as a resource for accurate SCS modelling approaches linked to locally relevant management strategies.

  2. Design and maintain long-term field studies that incorporate a dynamic baseline and monitoring programs to facilitate statistical analysis and attribution of change in SOC stocks between management and exogenous (climate, soil, landscape) drivers to provide a stronger evidence base for assessing additionality and the benefits of adoption of specific practices.

  3. Support innovation for cost-effective and accurate quantification of small changes in SOC stocks, including improved capacity of process models and statistical analytics to more accurately simulate the dynamics of SOC in response to natural and management factors by integrating data from multiple sources and promising technological advances in spectrometry, remote sensing and machine learning.

Data availability

The data that support this analysis are available in the article and appendix.

Conflicts of interest

Two authors (SB and SMcD) are Associate Editors of The Rangeland Journal. To mitigate this potential conflicts of interest they had no editor-level access to this manuscript during peer review. The authors have no further conflicts of interest to declare.

Declaration of funding

This research did not receive any specific funding.

Acknowledgements

The support of Queensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Australia for the literature review relating to northern Australian rangelands is gratefully acknowledged. We thank anonymous reviewers for very helpful comments on the manuscript.

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Appendix

Table A1.Summary information for studies with reliable data on soil organic carbon (SOC) changes following implementation of a new or different management strategy in Australian rangelands. Publications with no shading are those listed in Table 1 of this paper as having soil carbon sequestration (SCS) data, either reported or enabling calculation consistent with internationally accepted accounting methods and method requirements in carbon crediting schemes. Publications with shading have credible observations of the response of SOC stocks to new rangeland management strategies, but do not satisfy one or more requirements for SCS quantification. For all studies, qualitative comparative trends in SOC stocks linked to each strategy are given in the right-hand column.

Study referenceStudy regionAv. Ann. rainfall (mm)Management changeMonitoring period (years)Sampling depth (cm)SOC stock change (t C ha−1 year−1)Indicative SCS
Grazing Management strategies
 Grazing intensity
  Bray et al. (2014) ACharters Towers region, QLD640Moderate vs high160–300.087+
  Pringle et al. (2014) AJulia Creek region, QLD429Low vs mod/high260–300.004–0.035 (n.s.)0
  Clewett (2015) FCondamine, QLD668Low vs mod/high180–300.03–0.13+
  Clewett (2015) FCondamine, QLD668Low vs mod/high100–300.5–0.9+
  Young et al. (2016)Walcha region, NSW900–1200Low vs High>200–500.1 (n.s.)0
 Rotational vs continuous grazing
  Allen et al. (2013) AQLD rangelands256–1138Rotation/cell vs continuous~10 C0–300 (n.s.) C+
  Schatz et al. (2020) ANorthern NT1209Intensive rotation vs continuous50–30−0.03 (n.s.)0
  Sanderman et al. (2015) AUpper, mid-north SA310–570Rotation vs continuous7+ D0–30−0.070
  Orgill et al. (2017) ABrewarrina, NSW292Rotation vs continuous8+ D0–30−0.11 to 0.01 (n.s.)0
  Badgery et al. (2014)Central West Slopes and Plains, NSW300–650Increasing intensity of rotational grazingVarious0–30NR0
  Chan et al. (2010)Central & South NSW, North-East VIC600–800Rotational vs traditional>10 D0–30−0.07 (n.s.) A0
  Cowie et al. (2013)Northern Tablelands, NSW792Rotational vs continuous>50–30−1.36 (n.s.) A0
  Orgill et al. (2018)South-east NSW (Berridale region)582Rotational vs tactical (set-stock)40–40−0.85 (n.s.)0
  Orgill et al. (2014)South-east NSW (Boorowa Region)610Rotational vs continuous15 D0–70−0.28 A, B
 Destocking or excluding grazing
  Allen et al. (2013) AQLD rangelands256–1138Exclosure vs grazed~10 D0–301.68+
  Carter et al. (2006)Charleville region, QLD483Exclosure vs grazed240–300.28 B++
  Daryanto et al. (2013) AEnngonia region, NSW312Exclosure vs grazed200–300.27–0.38 B++
  Hunt (2014) FKidman Springs, NT667Detocked vs grazed580–300.05+
  Pringle et al. (2014) AJulia Creek region, QLD429Destocked vs grazed260–300.006–0.041 (n.s.)0
  Sanderman et al. (2015) AUpper, mid-north SA310–570No stock vs grazed7+ D0–300.17–0.24 (n.s.)++
  Witt et al (2011) ASouth-west QLD150–500Exclosure vs grazed13–430–30≤0.05–0.13 B0, ++
  Orgill et al. (2018)South-east NSW (Berridale)582Ungrazed vs grazed40–400.98–1.83 B++
  Orgill et al. (2017) ACobar North, NSW336No stock/High TGP vs grazed8+ D0–30−0.08 to 0.21 (flat) (n.s.) −1.04 (ridges)0
  Orgill et al. (2014)South-east NSW (Boorowa)610Ungrazed (remnant) vs grazed30 D0–70−0.01 to 0.14 (n.s.) A0
Pasture management strategies
 Sowing more productive grasses into grass pastures
  Chan et al. (2010) ECentral-southern NSW600–800Introduced vs native pastures≥100–300.02 (n.s.)0
  Clewett (2015) FCondamine, QLD672Sown vs native pastures500–300.11+
  Chan et al. (2010)Central-southern NSW600–800Perennial vs annual pasture≥100–300.4 (n.s.)0
  Chan et al. (2011)Wagga Wagga NSW650Perennial vs annual pasture130–300.00 (n.s.)0
 Sowing legumes into grass pastures
  Conrad et al. (2017)Gayndah, QLD691Leucaena-grass vs native pastures400–300.28 (n.s.)+
  Wochesländer et al. (2016)South-west WA498Tagasaste vs native grass220–300.72++
  Clewett (2015) FCondamine, QLD672Sown grass-legume vs native pastures500–300.38+
  Harrison et al. (2015)Tropical rangelands, QLD600–800Leucaena-grass vs grass pastures~100–300.27 ± 0.12+
  Radrizzani et al. (2011)Gayndah, QLD691Leucaena-grass vs native pastures20–380–150.08–0.27+
  Radrizzani et al. (2011)Banana, QLD667Leucaena-grass vs crop140–150.76++
 Waterponding in scald areas
  Read et al. (2012)Central-west catchment, NSW400Waterponding vs scalded20–250–300.28++
 Managing fire regimes in grazed savannas
  Hunt (2014) FKidman Springs, NT667Early season burn (2,4 yearly) vs unmanaged fire regime580–30−0.03-
  Hunt (2014) FKidman Springs, NT667Late season burn (4,6 yearly) vs unmanaged fire regime580–30−0.04-
  Allen et al. (2021)Kidman Springs, NT667Early or late season burn (2,4,6 yearly) vs unmanaged/unburnt fire200–300 (n.s.)-
Land conversion strategies
 Conversion from cropland to permanent pastures
  Badgery et al. (2020)Condobolin, NSW424Perennial pasture vs cropping150–300.48++
  Jones et al. (2016)South-west QLD583Cropping to grass pasture200–300.18++
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Cultivation to pasture15–200–300.06–0.15+
  Badgery et al. (2021)Central-west NSW~600Reduced-till cropping vs pasture50–300.92++
  Skjemstad et al. (1994)Narayan, S QLD716Cropping to perennial pasture110–150.21–0.44
  Young et al. (2009)Liverpool Plains, NSW684Zero-till cropping to perennial pasture70–200.17-
 Conversion from forest cover to grassland
  Dalal et al. (2005)Mulga View, SW QLD516Mulga woodland to sown pasture200–300.12+
  Dalal et al. (2011)Brigalow Catchment Study, QLD720Brigalow forest to sown pasture230–400 (n.s.)0
  Dalal et al. (2021)Brigalow Catchment Study, QLD720Brigalow forest to sown pasture330–30−0.05 (n.s.)0
  Harms et al. (2005)Central-Southern QLD rangelands600–800Forest/woodland to buffel grass/native pasture<11–310–30−0.22 (n.s. Eucalypt; B Mulga)0/+
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Woodland to native pasture20–500–30−1.76
  Wilson et al. (2011)North-west NSW690–880Native woodland to sown pasture20–300–30−2.07
  Allen et al. (2016)Brigalow Belt, QLD (45 sites)NRBrigalow forest to pasture15–730–300.72-
  Grover et al. (2012) HDouglas-Daly River Catchment, NT1057–1180Savanna woodland to pasture25–30NR−1.1
  Livesley et al. (2021)Douglas-Daly River Catchment, NT1057–1180Savanna woodland to improved pasture280–300.34+
 Conversion from grassland to forest cover
  Allen et al. (2016)Brigalow Belt, QLDNRPasture to brigalow regrowth16–760–300 (n.s.)0
  Paul et al. (2002) GAustraliaNRPasture to planted forest250–300.07–0.40+
  Paul et al. (2002) GAustraliaNRPasture to plantation trees300–300.14+
  Guo et al. (2008)Billy Billy, ACT623Native pasture to conifer plantation160–100−1.02

NR, not reported; TGP, total grazing pressure.

A Where SCS was not reported, estimation assumes initial SOC stocks were equal in the ‘change’ treatment and ‘control’ and the difference in reported SOC stocks (t ha−1) after x years was converted to SCS (t ha−1 year−1) by dividing by x.
B Significant difference between treatments (B); otherwise not significant (n.s.) or not reported.
C No significant difference refers to data after detrending of climate; without detrending the SCS difference was 1.12–1.69 t C ha−1 year−1.
D Estimate of management years, derived from publication.
E Study includes sites outside the rangeland boundary (Fig. 1) but included as indicative in the absence of other data.
F SCS based on modelled changes.
G Based on metaanalysis.
H Based on GHG flux measurements.