Historical analysis of blue marlin (Makaira nigricans Lacepède, 1802) catches by the pelagic longline fleet in the eastern Pacific Ocean
Emigdio Marín-Enríquez A D , Leonardo A. Abitia-Cárdenas B , Xchel G. Moreno-Sánchez B and Jorge S. Ramírez-Pérez CA CONACYT-Facultad de Ciencias del Mar, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Paseo Claussen s/n, Colonia Los Pinos 82000, Mazatlán, Sinaloa, México.
B Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Centro Interdisciplinario de Ciencias Marinas, Avenida IPN s/n, 23096, La Paz, Baja California Sur, México.
C Facultad de Ciencias del Mar, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Paseo Claussen s/n, Colonia Los Pinos 82000, Mazatlán, Sinaloa, México.
D Corresponding author. Email: emarin@conacyt.mx
Marine and Freshwater Research 71(4) 532-541 https://doi.org/10.1071/MF19088
Submitted: 27 October 2018 Accepted: 7 June 2019 Published: 6 September 2019
Abstract
We analysed a historical (1959–2017) database of blue marlin catches reported by the industrial pelagic longline fleet operating in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The time series of catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) for the time period 1959–2015 was modelled as a function of temporal and environmental variables by using generalised additive mixed models (GAMM). CPUE predictions were made on an independent dataset (2016–2017). Results suggested that a higher nominal CPUE occurred near the equator during boreal winter, spring and autumn, with a shift towards the north during the boreal summer. Two high CPUE events were observed, one in the early 1960s and one in the early 1990s. The final GAMM explained 61% of the total variance of the CPUE time series. Only a small percentage of total deviance was explained by the environmental variables, so we suggest that changes in fleet-targeting practices are the main cause of the large variability in the time series. The final GAMM can be used to predict blue marlin CPUE with a prediction accuracy of 3–8 fish per 1000 hooks. We observed an important decline in CPUE from the early 2000s; the factors responsible for this decline should be further investigated.
Additional keywords: environmental variability, fisheries oceanography, generalised additive mixed models.
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