Register      Login
The APPEA Journal The APPEA Journal Society
Journal of the Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association (APPEA)
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Australian winter 2022: how did we get here? Assessing the energy market conditions in Australia

Joshua Stabler A *
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Energy Edge, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.

* Correspondence to: jstabler@energyedge.com.au

The APPEA Journal 63 25-36 https://doi.org/10.1071/AJ22022
Submitted: 23 December 2022  Accepted: 8 February 2023   Published: 11 May 2023

© 2023 The Author(s) (or their employer(s)). Published by CSIRO Publishing on behalf of APPEA.

Abstract

Electricity and gas prices in the Australian east coast markets reached unprecedented levels from April to July 2022. The following report will investigate the root cause of the market prices with consideration of (a) reference to the international energy market scarcity, (b) government intervention, (c) assessment of availability and behaviour of coal generators and (d) role of gas generators in the east coast of Australia.

Keywords: Australia, energy crisis 2022, government intervention, international gas prices, National Electricity Market.

Josh Stabler is the Managing Director of Energy Edge and an advisor and system developer in the Australian energy industry. Josh has spent more than 20 years researching, analysing and extrapolating individual market participant behaviours from highly opaque market sources. Using these skills, Josh developed the Gas Market Analysis Tool and The Edge – Gas Market Update report. These provide market-leading solutions to the Australian energy markets and interactions into the domestic electricity, retail and domestic gas markets, as well as liquefied natural gas export developments. Clients have used these insights to extract value, develop strategies and trade confidentially in the energy markets. Josh provides clear and detailed due diligence analyses of new developments or mergers and acquisitions of electricity, gas and environmental market assets. Josh has presented to a range of market stakeholders to provide unparalleled market assessments, share timely industry insight, and inform and educate on the latest news and innovations.


References

ACCC (2022) ACCC Gas Inquiry 2017-2025. December 19. Retrieved from LNG netpack price series: https://www.accc.gov.au/regulated-infrastructure/energy/gas-inquiry-2017-2025/lng-netback-price-series

AEMOb (2022) NEMWeb Market Data. December 19. Retrieved from http://nemweb.com.au/

AEMOc (2020) ‘Integrated System Plan.’ (AEMO)

Australian Energy Regulator (2022) Default market offer prices 2022–23. May 26. Retrieved from Australian Energy Regulator: https://www.aer.gov.au/retail-markets/guidelines-reviews/default-market-offer-prices-2022%E2%80%9323/final-decision

Australian Financial Review (2022) Anti-business: Conoco, BHP fire up on gas intervention. December 14. Retrieved from Australian Financial Review: https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/anti-business-conoco-bhp-fire-up-on-gas-intervention-20221214-p5c6cj

Australian Government (2022) Treasury Laws Amendment (Energy Price Relief Plan) Bill 2022. December 15. Retrieved from Parliament of Australia: https://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/download/legislation/bills/r6969_aspassed/toc_pdf/22147b01.pdf;fileType=application%2Fpdf

ASX Energy (2022) ASX Futures. December 19. Retrieved from https://www.asxenergy.com.au/futures_au

ENTSO-G (2022) ENTSO-G Transparency Platform. December 15. Retrieved from ENTSO-G: https://transparency.entsog.eu/#/points/data?from=2022-06-01&points=de-tso-0016itp-00251entry%2Cde-tso-0017itp-00247entry%2Cpl-tso-0001itp-00104entry%2Cua-tso-0001itp-00183entry%2Cua-tso-0001itp-00184entry

Husic E, Chalmers J, Bowen C (2022) Responsible and meaningful action on gas prices. December 9. Retrieved from Department of Industry and Science: https://www.minister.industry.gov.au/ministers/husic/media-releases/responsible-and-meaningful-action-gas-prices

International Gas Union (2022) World LNG Report 2022. July 6. Retrieved from IGU: https://www.igu.org/resources/world-lng-report-2022/